INIT News
Prediction markets for INIT
Will Google Deepmind and OpenAI have a major collaborative initiative by the end of 2030? (1000 mana subsidy)
Jun 19, 7:06 AMDec 30, 9:39 PM
31.84%chance
778757
OptionVotes
3509
1069
[MIT AI Risk Initiative] Will an AI system autonomously access restricted high-risk systems or data by end of 2045?
Dec 4, 3:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
72.6%chance
102953
OptionVotes
1628
614
Will Brazil join China's Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) until the end of 2027?
Apr 11, 2:47 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM
25.62%chance
172215
OptionVotes
1424
798
Will NASA use atomic clocks on the moon as part of their initial timekeeping method?
Apr 22, 1:51 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM
90.35%chance
192063
OptionVotes
2645
628
Will a global initiative eradicate malaria worldwide by 2030?
Mar 26, 11:08 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM
10.35%chance
231608
OptionVotes
1757
838
[MIT AI Risk Initiative] Will AI be blamed for ≥1,000 deaths by end of 2035?
Dec 4, 3:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
79.42%chance
81237
OptionVotes
1965
509
[MIT AI Risk Initiative] Will major institutions call human labor “uncompetitive” vs AI in some domain by end of 2040?
Dec 4, 3:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
73.61%chance
5770
OptionVotes
1670
599
Will any European country initiate withdrawal from NATO by the end of 2027?
Jul 10, 1:54 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
14.31%chance
19601
OptionVotes
1148
940
Will first contact with extraterrestrial life be initiated by Earthlings?
Aug 25, 3:07 AMDec 31, 10:59 AM
41.51%chance
19582
OptionVotes
1038
957
Will an AI system be judged to have killed a human on its own initiative and for no other purpose by 2030?
Mar 10, 10:27 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
25.68%chance
14516
OptionVotes
1056
963
Will AMF lack funding to implement effective initiatives before 2030?
Nov 13, 5:53 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
50.71%chance
13196
OptionVotes
1077
903
Will Meter, Inc do an initial public offering or get acquired before the end of 2030?
May 25, 3:30 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
37.47%chance
13159
OptionVotes
1875
1696