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Prediction markets for Initial Public Offering

Will SpaceX (SPCX) stock drop below $75 by the end of 2026?

Aug 5, 12:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.67%chance

3812886

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2893

346

Will OpenAI go public in 2026?

Jan 13, 7:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.82%chance

383933

OptionVotes

YES

NO

370

27

OpenAI sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?

Nov 7, 7:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.88%chance

233352

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3420

292

SpaceX Market Cap after Lock Up Period?

May 22, 4:22 AMJan 1, 5:16 AM

43100

OptionProbability

2.0T - 2.499T

1.75T - 1.999T

2.5T - 2.999T

1.5T - 1.749T

1.25T - 1.499T

3T - 3.999T

Other

1.0T - 1.249T

0.75T - 0.999T

Below 0.5T

0.5T - 0.749T

27

20

19

14

4

4

4

3

2

1

1

OpenAI collapses or gets acquired before IPO?

Nov 22, 12:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.41%chance

151460

OptionVotes

YES

NO

353

28

Pope Francis considered for canonization by 2030?

May 9, 2:35 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.48%chance

15431

OptionVotes

YES

NO

132

76

Glosso IPO By 2027?

Jun 14, 1:24 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

7.55%chance

2250

OptionVotes

YES

NO

350

29

When (if ever) will Bohmian mechanics overthrow quantum theory?

Nov 12, 7:09 PMNov 13, 7:04 PM

3239

OptionProbability

Before the end of 2040

Before the end of 2045

Before the end of 2035

Before the end of 2030

15

15

10

5

Will Meter, Inc do an initial public offering or get acquired before the end of 2030?

May 25, 3:30 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

37.47%chance

13159

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1875

1696

Will Uber take over Delivery Hero until end of 2026?

Aug 27, 4:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.53%chance

4150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

203

49

Adult tooth regrowth commercially available in 2035?

Jun 27, 3:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

68.28%chance

10118

OptionVotes

NO

YES

147

68

Will Meghan Markle's book outsell Prince Harry's "Spare"?

Apr 23, 8:00 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

25.94%chance

556

OptionVotes

YES

NO

186

100

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