Injective News

Did Alibaba's ROME AI try to breach its sandbox during training?

Mar 7, 1:33 AMMar 14, 1:28 AM

19543852

OptionProbability

YES - The AI, without being prompted to, took actions to breach its sandbox, including to gain crypto and an external connection

NO - The authors are wrong/lying and there was no such hack

NO - The servers were hacked by an outside party, perhaps via prompt injection

NO - An employee (or other insider) was crypto-mining and made it look like the LLM

Is Rosie the dog's AI-designed mRNA cancer vaccine legitimate?

Mar 14, 8:19 PMDec 31, 8:12 PM

54.86%chance

16817569

OptionVotes

YES

1102

907

Will GiveWell fund Sayana® Press by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 4:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.58%chance

156839

OptionVotes

YES

8427

3028

Will prompt injection be effectively solved by end of 2026?

Mar 1, 5:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.29%chance

364370

OptionVotes

YES

2953

339

Before July 2026, will I personally see an online ad which is obviously a prompt injection attack for AI agents?

Jan 29, 7:31 AMJun 2, 6:59 AM

35.07%chance

161466

OptionVotes

YES

1386

752

Will gray hair be mostly reversible before 2035?

Jan 27, 7:53 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

41.15%chance

381228

OptionVotes

YES

2133

1742

Will prompt injection be effectively solved by end of 2027?

Mar 1, 7:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.1%chance

131217

OptionVotes

YES

1934

517

Conditional on my RSI improving before 2030, what will the main reason be?

Aug 18, 9:17 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

221119

OptionProbability

Generic strength/health training

Platelet-Rich Plasma (PRP) injections

No clear reason

Tai Chi / Qigong

Other

Mind-Body Therapy (Sarno-inspired)

Learn to type with voice better

Physical Therapy

Massage tools

Therapy (Other)

Meditation/mindfulness

Breathing Techniques

Brain-computer interface

If we try stratospheric aerosol injection before 2030, will it go well?

Sep 30, 6:51 PMApr 4, 6:59 AM

68.15%chance

14493

OptionVotes

YES

1054

965

Will Bryan Johnson inject minicircles/plasmids of the yamanaka factors into his body by 2026?

Sep 29, 6:57 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30%chance

8305

OptionVotes

YES

167

107

Will "Prompt injection in Google Translate reveals ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Feb 8, 11:05 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

10.82%chance

2288

OptionVotes

YES

1288

960

[Carlini questions] Open-weight SOTA AI system that can reliably withstand jailbreaking and "prompt injection" attacks

Mar 24, 2:31 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

7116

OptionProbability

By Jan 1st 2030

By Jan 1st 2029

By Jan 1st 2028

By Jan 1st 2027

By Jan 1st 2026

Injective News

Prediction markets for Injective

Prediction markets for Injective

Prediction markets for Injective

Did Alibaba's ROME AI try to breach its sandbox during training?

Is Rosie the dog's AI-designed mRNA cancer vaccine legitimate?

Will GiveWell fund Sayana® Press by 1st January 2027?

Will prompt injection be effectively solved by end of 2026?

Before July 2026, will I personally see an online ad which is obviously a prompt injection attack for AI agents?

Will gray hair be mostly reversible before 2035?

Will prompt injection be effectively solved by end of 2027?

Conditional on my RSI improving before 2030, what will the main reason be?

If we try stratospheric aerosol injection before 2030, will it go well?

Will Bryan Johnson inject minicircles/plasmids of the yamanaka factors into his body by 2026?

Will "Prompt injection in Google Translate reveals ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

[Carlini questions] Open-weight SOTA AI system that can reliably withstand jailbreaking and "prompt injection" attacks

Latest stories