Injective News

Did Alibaba's ROME AI try to breach its sandbox during training?

Mar 7, 1:33 AMMar 14, 1:28 AM

19745815

OptionProbability

YES - The AI, without being prompted to, took actions to breach its sandbox, including to gain crypto and an external connection

NO - The authors are wrong/lying and there was no such hack

NO - The servers were hacked by an outside party, perhaps via prompt injection

NO - An employee (or other insider) was crypto-mining and made it look like the LLM

Will GiveWell fund Sayana® Press by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 4:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.58%chance

156839

OptionVotes

YES

8427

3028

Will prompt injection be effectively solved by end of 2026?

Mar 1, 5:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.27%chance

374374

OptionVotes

YES

2957

338

Will prompt injection be effectively solved by end of 2027?

Mar 1, 7:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.79%chance

141501

OptionVotes

YES

2149

465

Will gray hair be mostly reversible before 2035?

Jan 27, 7:53 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

41.15%chance

381228

OptionVotes

YES

2133

1742

Conditional on my RSI improving before 2030, what will the main reason be?

Aug 18, 9:17 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

221119

OptionProbability

Generic strength/health training

Platelet-Rich Plasma (PRP) injections

No clear reason

Tai Chi / Qigong

Other

Mind-Body Therapy (Sarno-inspired)

Learn to type with voice better

Physical Therapy

Massage tools

Therapy (Other)

Meditation/mindfulness

Breathing Techniques

Brain-computer interface

If we try stratospheric aerosol injection before 2030, will it go well?

Sep 30, 6:51 PMApr 4, 6:59 AM

68.15%chance

14493

OptionVotes

YES

1054

965

Will Bryan Johnson inject minicircles/plasmids of the yamanaka factors into his body by 2026?

Sep 29, 6:57 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30%chance

8305

OptionVotes

YES

167

107

Will "Prompt injection in Google Translate reveals ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Feb 8, 11:05 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

10.82%chance

2288

OptionVotes

YES

1288

960

Will Microsoft Copilot inject ads into unrelated commits again?

Mar 30, 12:13 PMDec 31, 1:12 PM

70.82%chance

7140

OptionVotes

YES

156

[Carlini questions] Open-weight SOTA AI system that can reliably withstand jailbreaking and "prompt injection" attacks

Mar 24, 2:31 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

7116

OptionProbability

By Jan 1st 2030

By Jan 1st 2029

By Jan 1st 2028

By Jan 1st 2027

By Jan 1st 2026

Will "A Mechanistic Explanation of Prompt Injection..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Jun 23, 8:31 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14%chance

OptionVotes

YES

1000

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Did Alibaba's ROME AI try to breach its sandbox during training?

Will GiveWell fund Sayana® Press by 1st January 2027?

Will prompt injection be effectively solved by end of 2026?

Will prompt injection be effectively solved by end of 2027?

Will gray hair be mostly reversible before 2035?

Conditional on my RSI improving before 2030, what will the main reason be?

If we try stratospheric aerosol injection before 2030, will it go well?

Will Bryan Johnson inject minicircles/plasmids of the yamanaka factors into his body by 2026?

Will "Prompt injection in Google Translate reveals ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Will Microsoft Copilot inject ads into unrelated commits again?

[Carlini questions] Open-weight SOTA AI system that can reliably withstand jailbreaking and "prompt injection" attacks

Will "A Mechanistic Explanation of Prompt Injection..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

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