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Top stories

French GDP Holds at 0.3% as Inflation Slips to 0.8%

French GDP Holds at 0.3% as Inflation Slips to 0.8%

Authors

10

3 months ago

French Business Confidence Edges Higher as Production Outlook Improves

Authors

6

4 months ago

Prediction markets for INSEE

Are any insects sentient?

Apr 7, 11:49 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

59.83%chance

748538

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1012

943

Will any of the Magic: The Gathering "culturally insensitive cards" be reprinted or unbanned by the end of 2026?

Jan 30, 6:36 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

1.8%chance

214766

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5613

749

Will GitHub release an assistant, similar to Copilot, able to insert comments in code by 2028?

May 27, 10:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

78.99%chance

101948

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1939

516

By 2030, will the academic community lean in favour of insecticide-treated bed nets having net-positive overall impact?

Jan 21, 6:47 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

88.52%chance

13262

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1169

953

Will farmed-invertebrate welfare (shrimp, insects, octopi, etc) get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Oct 29, 2:49 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

75.86%chance

10207

OptionVotes

NO

YES

399

199

Prevalence of food insecurity in 2025?

Nov 6, 4:48 PMMay 1, 10:59 PM

1143

OptionProbability

13 - 15.99%

16 - 18.99%

10 - 12.99%

19 - 21.99%

Below 10%

22 - 25%

Above 25%

51

23

13

5

3

3

3

In what year will France's population reach 69 million?

Apr 14, 9:51 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

243

OptionProbability

2038-2039

2039-2040

2040-2041

2030-2031

2031-2032

2032-2033

2033-2034

2034-2035

2035-2036

2036-2037

2037-2038

2041-2042

2042-2043

2043-2044

2044-2045

2045-2046

2046-2047

2047-2048

2048-2049

2049-2050

2050-2051

2025-2026

2026-2027

2027-2028

2028-2029

2029-2030

14

14

14

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

1

1

1

1

1

Is it insecure to care about your partner's body count?

Jan 21, 4:31 PM

520

Fill in the blank: Jose Luis Ricon is the [[$INSERTWORD]] person on the entire planet

Aug 6, 3:53 AM

10

Are you afraid of some safe insects?

Oct 7, 4:26 AM

190

[solved] Teach me how to insert links to markets with name and percent to the market description

Jan 24, 5:20 PM

00

[solved] Teach me how to insert links to markets with name and percent to the market description via manifold API

Jan 1, 2:44 PM

00

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