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Top stories

Trump Approval Hits Second-Term Low With 37% Gallup Rating, 29% Among Independents, Rising Disapproval Across US

US Domestic Policy

Trump Approval Hits Second-Term Low With 37% Gallup Rating, 29% Among Independents, Rising Disapproval Across US

Authors

14

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Insider Advantage

In what year will a humanoid robot beat an olympic champion at their sport?

Mar 13, 4:13 AMJan 2, 2:59 AM

184988

OptionProbability

2025-2030

2035-2039

2030-2034

2040-2044

2045-2049

2050-2054

2055-2059

2060 onwards

2024

Other

99

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will Japan have a general AI company with a valuation of $1 bil+ primarily doing research inside of its borders by 2028?

Jan 2, 7:41 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

72.77%chance

342241

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1330

785

Will Aaron Sorkin return to TV before 2030?

Oct 15, 9:50 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

57.16%chance

2155

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1155

866

Will an "AGI insider" class accept the political disempowerment of everyone else?

Aug 8, 9:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

62.65%chance

450

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130

77

The Business Benefits of Mobile Entertainment Attractions

Aug 5, 10:18 AMDec 31, 10:17 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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