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Top stories

Donald Trump Approval Drops to 37% with Disapproval Up to 59%, Independent Voters at 68%, Economy and Budget Ratings Negative

US Domestic Policy

Donald Trump Approval Drops to 37% with Disapproval Up to 59%, Independent Voters at 68%, Economy and Budget Ratings Negative

Authors

7

17 days ago

Prediction markets for Insider Advantage

Will Japan have a general AI company with a valuation of $1 bil+ primarily doing research inside of its borders by 2028?

Jan 2, 7:41 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

72.77%chance

342241

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1330

785

Will Polymarket take more steps to verify that US citizens are not trading on their website before January 1, 2026?

Nov 17, 3:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

36.75%chance

61147

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1312

762

In what year will a humanoid robot beat an olympic champion at their sport?

Mar 13, 4:13 AMJan 2, 2:59 AM

14906

OptionProbability

2025-2030

2035-2039

2030-2034

2024

2040-2044

2045-2049

2050-2054

2055-2059

2060 onwards

Other

69

13

8

3

1

1

1

1

1

1

Will Aaron Sorkin return to TV before 2030?

Oct 15, 9:50 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

57.16%chance

2155

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1155

866

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