OptionVotes
NO
YES
1784
561
2102
476
OptionProbability
Unyielding Islamic Regime
Deal with major concessions
Deal with minimal concessions
Military coup (Artesh)
Venezuela-style puppet state
Balkanization/long civil war
Popular takeover
Voluntary transition of power
38
26
22
6
3
2
1
1378
717
136
74
287
35
187
54
171
59
