OptionVotes
YES
NO
2995
334
1378
717
OptionProbability
Unyielding Islamic Regime
Deal with minimal concessions
Balkanization/long civil war
Deal with major concessions
Military coup (Artesh)
Popular takeover
Venezuela-style puppet state
Voluntary transition of power
38
28
11
8
7
5
2
1593
628
287
35
187
54
161
62