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Top stories

Bolivia’s October 19 Runoff Between Rodrigo Paz and Jorge Quiroga Highlights Gas Export Decline and Lithium Development Plans

Bolivia’s October 19 Runoff Between Rodrigo Paz and Jorge Quiroga Highlights Gas Export Decline and Lithium Development Plans

Authors

8

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Institute

Is Richard Hanania correct that major institutions are anti-white and anti-male. There is Gay propaganda in schools etc.

Apr 4, 11:03 PMJul 25, 7:24 AM

22.71%chance

294658

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1084

945

Will there be an "EA university" or similar institution by 31 December 2027?

Aug 23, 4:28 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

14.43%chance

522883

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2109

648

Will Congress ban institutional investors from buying single family homes by 2027

Jan 7, 9:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.89%chance

92518

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3201

312

Will New Zealand Crown Research Institutes be centralised by 2026?

Jan 7, 11:01 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM

10.22%chance

22109

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2964

337

Will the US institute a national ban on abortion anytime before 2035?

May 8, 11:44 PMMay 16, 3:59 AM

11.35%chance

212024

OptionVotes

NO

YES

996

992

Will the United States re-institute the draft by 2030? 🪖🇺🇸

Mar 4, 9:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.59%chance

171504

OptionVotes

NO

YES

989

640

What will the Machine Intelligence Research Institute's revenue be in 2025?

Apr 7, 12:57 AMDec 1, 11:59 PM

31071

OptionProbability

Above $1,000,000

Above $2,000,000

Above $3,500,000

Above $5,000,000

Above $7,500,000

Above $10,000,000

Above $15,000,000

Above $20,000,000

Above $35,000,000

99

99

75

34

5

3

3

2

2

Will the Machine Intelligence Research Institute exist in 2030?

Apr 17, 7:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

81.86%chance

161059

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1454

850

Will Max Tegmark (physicist, Future of Life Institute) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Jan 15, 3:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.27%chance

16922

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1449

947

[MIT AI Risk Initiative] Will major institutions call human labor “uncompetitive” vs AI in some domain by end of 2040?

Dec 4, 3:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

73.61%chance

5770

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1670

599

Wuhan Institute of Virology defector before 2040

May 16, 12:04 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

38.82%chance

21408

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1100

1011

Will any country institute zones where it is illegal to go without wearing a MITM AR device by 2030?

Jun 26, 6:09 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

14%chance

7150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

248

40

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