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Prediction markets for Institute
Is Richard Hanania correct that major institutions are anti-white and anti-male. There is Gay propaganda in schools etc.
Apr 4, 11:03 PMJul 25, 7:24 AM
24.69%chance
294632
OptionVotes
998
971
Will there be an "EA university" or similar institution by 31 December 2027?
Aug 23, 4:28 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
14.9%chance
512833
OptionVotes
2059
657
Will New Zealand Crown Research Institutes be centralised by 2026?
Jan 7, 11:01 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM
10.22%chance
22109
OptionVotes
2964
337
Will the US institute a national ban on abortion anytime before 2035?
May 8, 11:44 PMMay 16, 3:59 AM
17.29%chance
211674
OptionVotes
1053
642
Will the United States re-institute the draft by 2030? 🪖🇺🇸
Mar 4, 9:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
14.81%chance
161494
OptionVotes
990
630
Will Congress ban institutional investors from buying single family homes by 2027
Jan 7, 9:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
15.14%chance
71405
OptionVotes
2367
422
Will the Machine Intelligence Research Institute exist in 2030?
Apr 17, 7:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
81.86%chance
161059
OptionVotes
1454
850
[MIT AI Risk Initiative] Will major institutions call human labor “uncompetitive” vs AI in some domain by end of 2040?
Dec 4, 3:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
73.14%chance
4750
OptionVotes
1650
606
Will Kanye be committed to a mental institution by EOY 2027
Apr 3, 2:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
15.29%chance
12425
OptionVotes
235
42
OptionVotes
1100
1011
Will more than 5% of 2024 Title IV institutions close by EOY 2029?
Oct 5, 5:59 AMSep 2, 3:59 AM
80%chance
1100
OptionVotes
205
55
What will the dollar price of a full-body cryopreservation for a lifetime member of the Cryonics Institute be in 2040?
Mar 13, 5:50 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
81.82%chance
213
OptionProbability
271
267


