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Top stories

Company Earnings

Anika Shares Slide 10% as Hyalofast Trial Disappoints, Revenue Drops

Authors

5

4 days ago

Prediction markets for Integrity

If Manifold integrates Bluesky, how many active users will we have in 3 months?

May 21, 11:14 PMDec 31, 11:06 PM

2530231

Will Google integrate Bitcoin Lightning payments in the Play Store by the end of 2025?

May 17, 12:50 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

1.71%chance

3815234

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7586

132

Will Bloomberg terminals have a Manifold integration before 2026?

Aug 28, 7:21 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

4.49%chance

515866

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4764

1050

Will Apple release a MacBook with LLM integration built in, by 2025 end?

Apr 1, 6:10 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

88.51%chance

454722

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3524

530

Will there exist popular smart glasses with LLM integration by 2030?

Apr 8, 6:49 PMJan 1, 6:29 PM

85.66%chance

434022

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3633

1265

Will the United States Air Force integrate an autonomous, AI-controlled fighter jet, like Lockheed's VISTA X-62, into their active service fleet by 2040?

Feb 24, 1:57 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

73.59%chance

212870

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1221

865

GTA VI will have Spotify integration for the in-game radio

Nov 20, 9:07 AMJan 1, 6:29 PM

13.39%chance

201430

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1852

771

By the year 2040, will the US military integrate a bipedal humanoid robot, similar to Boston Dynamics' Atlas, into its arsenal?

Feb 24, 1:29 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

70.75%chance

37866

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1180

894

A school will integrate a full K-12 curriculum with Roblox, including language classes and virtual field

Sep 10, 3:03 PMSep 8, 3:01 PM

18.11%chance

11836

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1104

960

Second major LLM-chatbot integrates thread-memory by EoY 2025

Apr 27, 6:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

76.68%chance

9813

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1813

552

Will Georgia (country) keep its territorial integrity until end of 2030? (The situation will not be worse than now)

Sep 21, 11:04 AMDec 31, 7:59 PM

57.1%chance

9610

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1154

867

Will prediction markets be formally integrated into a government's political system before 2040? 📜🏛️⚖️📊

Apr 13, 6:53 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM

37.97%chance

19442

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1127

694

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