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Prediction markets for Intel Capital
2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.
Mar 11, 12:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
75.68%chance
173564
OptionVotes
1159
926
2030 – 1. Nvidia’s market capitalization will be meaningfully lower + Intel’s will be meaningfully higher, than today
Mar 11, 12:04 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
12.77%chance
233562
OptionVotes
2275
637
2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.
Mar 11, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
79.08%chance
382747
OptionVotes
1720
680
2030 – 4. “Agents” and “AGI” will be outdated terms that are no longer widely used.
Mar 11, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
26.97%chance
251329
OptionVotes
1017
852
2030 – 2. We interact with a wide range of AIs in our daily lives as naturally as we interact with other humans today
Mar 11, 12:07 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
88.83%chance
141045
OptionVotes
1519
876
OptionProbability
82
75
69
44
39