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Prediction markets for Intelligent Infrastructure

Will Chittagong Bangladesh be declared the most liveable city in the world by the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 5:17 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

1%chance

24173148

OptionVotes

YES

NO

99499

1005

Will there be a terrorist attack against OpenAI before 2027?

Jun 1, 2:14 PMDec 31, 4:59 PM

15.68%chance

526622

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4993

1363

Will we get Rouge AI before 2032?

Mar 12, 11:13 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM

9.23%chance

264684

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2710

623

Will we get Rouge AI before 2031?

Mar 10, 2:41 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

9.94%chance

263666

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1896

811

Will there be a military operation to slow down AI development by the end of 2030?

Jun 2, 9:14 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

16%chance

393505

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2291

436

2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.

Mar 11, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

82.06%chance

372697

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1928

630

Will there be a military operation to slow down AI development by the end of 2035?

Jun 1, 12:28 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

31.53%chance

251478

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1474

679

Will Venezuela retaliate?

Jan 5, 4:29 PMDec 31, 4:29 PM

10.9%chance

11836

OptionVotes

YES

NO

286

35

Will the S&P500 be greater than $8000 in 2026?

Jan 5, 9:09 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

34.55%chance

18652

OptionVotes

YES

NO

138

73

Confirmed overflight of US Military aircraft over Cuba in 2026

Jan 13, 3:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

81.4%chance

11587

OptionVotes

NO

YES

580

454

Has there been / will there be any covert Israeli 🇮🇱 sabotage activity inside Iran 🇮🇷 after the June ceasefire?

Jul 24, 1:59 AMJun 30, 6:59 PM

70.7%chance

7569

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1553

644

Will Kyiv remain in the 10 least livable cities in 2026?

Jan 1, 4:58 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

62.93%chance

4319

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1303

768

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