Interface News
Prediction markets for Interface
Will humans send AND receive a message telepathically via brain machine interface before 2026?
Jan 10, 8:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
18.33%chance
653808
OptionVotes
1561
807
10. Brain-computer interfaces transition to mainstream technology, Neuralink position in lead shakier [See full title!]
Dec 28, 11:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
45.89%chance
253805
OptionVotes
1088
922
In 2030, will most human-computer interactions happen through a LLM-interface?
Feb 4, 7:41 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
26.6%chance
601782
OptionVotes
1046
1008
Will a fully functional brain-computer interface be commercially available by 2030?
Jan 14, 8:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
30.65%chance
381339
OptionVotes
1427
726
Will we see non-invasive holographic brain-computer interfaces with <100 neuron precision by 2030 ?
May 19, 6:48 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
26.04%chance
171095
OptionVotes
1686
593
OptionVotes
1198
731
Will Coefficient Giving set up LLM agents with org accounts and a remote worker-like interface by 5/18/27?
May 20, 1:17 AMMay 18, 12:00 AM
63.18%chance
4511
OptionVotes
1310
763
Will smartphones be substantially replaced with voice LLM interfaces by 2030?
Feb 17, 8:11 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
18.57%chance
14346
OptionVotes
1007
982
Will we develop a commercial computer to brain interface by 2028?
Aug 1, 7:24 AMJan 1, 2:59 PM
48.67%chance
13292
OptionVotes
1067
927
Will a $1k non-invasive brain interface handle 100 commands before 2027?
Feb 9, 2:45 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
30%chance
14259
OptionVotes
1045
966
Will we see non-invasive holographic brain-computer interfaces with <10 000 neuron precision by 2030 ?
May 19, 7:04 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
43.89%chance
3135
OptionVotes
1131
884
Will we see non-invasive holographic brain-computer interfaces with <1000 neuron precision by 2030 ?
May 19, 7:02 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
48.13%chance
350
OptionVotes
1038
963