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Prediction markets for Interface

Will humans send AND receive a message telepathically via brain machine interface before 2026?

Jan 10, 8:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.36%chance

633508

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1261

885

In 2030, will most human-computer interactions happen through a LLM-interface?

Feb 4, 7:41 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

26.6%chance

601782

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1046

1008

Will a fully functional brain-computer interface be commercially available by 2030?

Jan 14, 8:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29.64%chance

361306

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1464

710

Will we see non-invasive holographic brain-computer interfaces with <100 neuron precision by 2030 ?

May 19, 6:48 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

26.04%chance

171095

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1686

593

Will Non-invasive Brain Computer Interfaces Become Common By 2040?

Mar 26, 6:15 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

41.85%chance

271057

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1006

931

Will Brain-Computer interfaces be widespread by 2035?

Mar 3, 9:48 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

44.79%chance

21489

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1081

857

Will smartphones be substantially replaced with voice LLM interfaces by 2030?

Feb 17, 8:11 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

18.57%chance

14346

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1007

982

Will we develop a commercial computer to brain interface by 2028?

Aug 1, 7:24 AMJan 1, 2:59 PM

48.67%chance

13292

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1067

927

Will a brain-computer interface successfully restore speech in a patient with severe speech impairment?

Jul 29, 4:14 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

46.73%chance

4223

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1068

937

Will a $1k non-invasive brain interface handle 100 commands before 2027?

Feb 9, 2:45 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

30%chance

13209

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1045

966

Will we see non-invasive holographic brain-computer interfaces with <10 000 neuron precision by 2030 ?

May 19, 7:04 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

43.89%chance

3135

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1131

884

Will we see non-invasive holographic brain-computer interfaces with <1000 neuron precision by 2030 ?

May 19, 7:02 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

48.13%chance

350

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1038

963

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