International Atomic Energy Agency News

Russia Warns Austria Against NATO Bid, Threatens Retaliation

1 year ago

Austria

Iran

Politics

Austria Puts IAEA Chief Grossi Under 24-Hour Guard After Iran Threat

1 year ago

France, Germany and UK Trigger UN 'Snapback' to Restore Iran Sanctions

Middle East

Europe

Politics

France, Germany and UK Trigger UN 'Snapback' to Restore Iran Sanctions

1 year ago

Will the US obtain the Iranian uranium?

Apr 1, 9:15 PMDec 31, 10:14 PM

14.16%chance

547021

OptionVotes

YES

3243

194

Will Iran enrich uranium to weapons grade in 2026?

Dec 29, 11:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.49%chance

215388

OptionVotes

YES

3796

264

Which international organizations or agreements will the United States leave before 2029?

Jan 22, 1:22 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

223816

OptionProbability

Paris Climate Agreement

United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO)

World Health Organization (WHO)

United Nations Human Rights Council (UNHRC)

United Nations Relief and Works Agency (UNRWA)

World Trade Organization (WTO)

North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO)

Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO)

International Labour Organization (ILO)

Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)

World Intellectual Property Organization (WIPO)

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

World Bank

International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)

United Nations (UN)

International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO)

Will Iran acquire nuclear weapon by the end of 2027?

May 13, 4:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.27%chance

152279

OptionVotes

YES

2956

338

Who will be the next UN General secretary?

Apr 12, 11:31 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

211630

OptionProbability

Other

Rebeca Grynspan [high-level UN official and former vice president of Costa Rica]

Rafael Grossi [Argentinian diplomat - director general of the International Atomic Energy Agency]

Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés [former president of the UN General Assembly and former minister of Ecuador]

Alicia Bárcena [Mexico’s foreign affairs secretary]

Mia Mottley [Prime Minister of Barbados]

Michelle Bachelet [former UN High Commissioner for Human Rights and President of Chile]

Juan Manuel Santos [former Colombian president – a Nobel peace Prize laureate]

Jacinda Ardern (Former Prime Minister of New Zealand)

Will a nuclear bomb be used against Iran before 2030?

Apr 7, 3:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.98%chance

14549

OptionVotes

YES

396

Will Iran sign a peace deal with the middle east countries

Mar 4, 7:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.41%chance

5125

OptionVotes

YES

163

In which country will happen a BDBA nuclear accident (beyond design basis accident) next?

Jun 29, 7:27 AMDec 31, 8:14 AM

5100

OptionProbability

United States

Other

France

Ukraine

Russia

Pakistan

China

India

Japan

Belgium

North Korea

Iran

When will TerraPower’s Natrium Reactor in Kemmerer, WY go “online”

Mar 10, 8:27 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

130

OptionProbability

2033 - 2034

2035 - 2037

2031 - 2032

2038 - 2041

2042 - 2050

2051=<

Will a breakthrough in macro-scale energy production occur by EOY 2030 ?

Jun 9, 4:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

OptionVotes

YES

100

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Prediction markets for International Atomic Energy Agency

Prediction markets for International Atomic Energy Agency

Prediction markets for International Atomic Energy Agency

Will the US obtain the Iranian uranium?

Will Iran enrich uranium to weapons grade in 2026?

Which international organizations or agreements will the United States leave before 2029?

Will Iran acquire nuclear weapon by the end of 2027?

Who will be the next UN General secretary?

Will a nuclear bomb be used against Iran before 2030?

Will Iran sign a peace deal with the middle east countries

In which country will happen a BDBA nuclear accident (beyond design basis accident) next?

When will TerraPower’s Natrium Reactor in Kemmerer, WY go “online”

Will a breakthrough in macro-scale energy production occur by EOY 2030 ?

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