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Top stories

Second Woman, an Intern, Accuses ICC Chief Prosecutor Karim Khan of Sexual Misconduct Amid UN Support

Second Woman, an Intern, Accuses ICC Chief Prosecutor Karim Khan of Sexual Misconduct Amid UN Support

Authors

5

11 months ago

Rubio Meets Canada’s Anand in Washington as Trade Strains Mount

US Foreign Policy

Rubio Meets Canada’s Anand in Washington as Trade Strains Mount

Authors

5

1 year ago

China Confirms Kim Jong Un, Putin for Sept. 3 Victory Parade

China Confirms Kim Jong Un, Putin for Sept. 3 Victory Parade

Authors

67

1 year ago

Hungary Offers to Host Putin-Zelensky Peace Summit Amid Venue Dispute

Authors

10

1 year ago

US Foreign Policy

Trump Administration Sanctions Four ICC Judges and Prosecutors From France, Canada Over Netanyahu War Crimes Probe

Authors

69

1 year ago

Switzerland Offers Putin Immunity for Geneva Ukraine Peace Talks

Authors

38

1 year ago

ICC Drafts Arrest Warrants for Israeli Ministers Ben-Gvir and Smotrich

Authors

4

1 year ago

Prediction markets for International Criminal Court

Will Benjamin Netanyahu ever be arrested, detained or face trial for war crimes?

May 20, 5:59 PMDec 16, 11:59 PM

10.8%chance

10917865

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2874

348

By end of 2026, will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be charged with war crimes by the International Criminal Court?

Mar 3, 8:44 AMAug 31, 8:59 PM

4.61%chance

326091

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4550

220

Predictions about Syria in 2026

Dec 9, 10:54 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

383403

OptionProbability

Will Syria be Democratic?

Will Syria be Secular?

Will Syria experience a genocide?

Will Syria be split into more than one state/nation?

29

21

14

13

Will Putin stand trial in the International Criminal Court?

Mar 18, 3:41 AMJan 2, 12:59 AM

3.74%chance

302763

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2006

912

Will the ICC prosecute a US citizen before 2035?

May 27, 8:36 AMMar 3, 9:59 PM

46.58%chance

13720

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1071

934

Will the International Criminal Court (ICC) rule that Donald Trump is a war criminal at anytime during his current term?

Feb 8, 1:53 AMJan 1, 2:59 PM

18.83%chance

9563

OptionVotes

YES

NO

208

48

Additional withdrawal notifications to the Rome Statute of the International Criminal Court before the end of the decade

May 10, 2:36 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

5.09%chance

6241

OptionProbability

NO

YES

499

154

Will the Spanish ex-president José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be tried because of his involvement with Maduro’s government?

Jan 22, 5:20 AMJan 30, 11:59 PM

34.52%chance

9163

OptionVotes

YES

NO

138

73

Will the International Criminal Court issue an arrest warrant for an American politician by 2030?

Nov 2, 2:42 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

52%chance

7114

OptionVotes

NO

YES

104

96

Labour initiates legislation to reform or replace Human Rights Act before next election?

Jul 21, 9:50 AMAug 15, 12:00 AM

37.02%chance

585

OptionVotes

YES

NO

130

77

Should Bibi Netanyahu be charged by the International Criminal Court for actions he has taken since 10/7?

Nov 7, 11:17 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

4040

Should Bibi Netanyahu be charged by the International Criminal Court for actions he has taken since 10/7?

Mar 15, 12:12 AMJan 1, 10:59 AM

200

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