International Energy Agency News

UK Power Bills Climb Again as Surging Costs Jeopardise Net-Zero Goal

1 year ago

India

Economics

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U.S. Crude and Brent Oil Prices Fluctuate Amid Supply Drops, IEA Warnings, and U.S. Tariffs on Indian Products

1 year ago

Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?

Apr 21, 8:36 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

53.05%chance

326120930

OptionVotes

YES

1026

952

Will the US obtain the Iranian uranium?

Apr 1, 9:15 PMDec 31, 10:14 PM

14.16%chance

547021

OptionVotes

YES

3243

194

Will Iran enrich uranium to weapons grade in 2026?

Dec 29, 11:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.49%chance

215388

OptionVotes

YES

3796

264

Which international organizations or agreements will the United States leave before 2029?

Jan 22, 1:22 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

223816

OptionProbability

Paris Climate Agreement

United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO)

World Health Organization (WHO)

United Nations Human Rights Council (UNHRC)

United Nations Relief and Works Agency (UNRWA)

World Trade Organization (WTO)

North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO)

Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO)

International Labour Organization (ILO)

Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)

World Intellectual Property Organization (WIPO)

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

World Bank

International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)

United Nations (UN)

International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO)

Will solar PV become the largest source of power by 2028?

Feb 28, 4:00 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

20.77%chance

313810

OptionVotes

YES

1067

949

Will Iran acquire nuclear weapon by the end of 2027?

May 13, 4:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.27%chance

152279

OptionVotes

YES

2956

338

Who will be the next UN General secretary?

Apr 12, 11:31 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

211630

OptionProbability

Other

Rebeca Grynspan [high-level UN official and former vice president of Costa Rica]

Rafael Grossi [Argentinian diplomat - director general of the International Atomic Energy Agency]

Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés [former president of the UN General Assembly and former minister of Ecuador]

Alicia Bárcena [Mexico’s foreign affairs secretary]

Mia Mottley [Prime Minister of Barbados]

Michelle Bachelet [former UN High Commissioner for Human Rights and President of Chile]

Juan Manuel Santos [former Colombian president – a Nobel peace Prize laureate]

Jacinda Ardern (Former Prime Minister of New Zealand)

Will data centres consume more than 10% of global electricity usage for the year 2030?

Mar 24, 5:16 PMDec 31, 12:00 PM

52.02%chance

231487

OptionVotes

YES

1232

698

Will a nuclear bomb be used against Iran before 2030?

Apr 7, 3:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.98%chance

14549

OptionVotes

YES

396

Will global carbon emissions from all sources peak before 2030?

Mar 23, 11:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

67%chance

7161

OptionVotes

YES

142

In which country will happen a BDBA nuclear accident (beyond design basis accident) next?

Jun 29, 7:27 AMDec 31, 8:14 AM

5100

OptionProbability

United States

Other

France

Ukraine

Russia

Pakistan

China

India

Japan

Belgium

North Korea

Iran

When will TerraPower’s Natrium Reactor in Kemmerer, WY go “online”

Mar 10, 8:27 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

130

OptionProbability

2033 - 2034

2035 - 2037

2031 - 2032

2038 - 2041

2042 - 2050

2051=<

International Energy Agency News

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Prediction markets for International Energy Agency

Prediction markets for International Energy Agency

Prediction markets for International Energy Agency

Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?

Will the US obtain the Iranian uranium?

Will Iran enrich uranium to weapons grade in 2026?

Which international organizations or agreements will the United States leave before 2029?

Will solar PV become the largest source of power by 2028?

Will Iran acquire nuclear weapon by the end of 2027?

Who will be the next UN General secretary?

Will data centres consume more than 10% of global electricity usage for the year 2030?

Will a nuclear bomb be used against Iran before 2030?

Will global carbon emissions from all sources peak before 2030?

In which country will happen a BDBA nuclear accident (beyond design basis accident) next?

When will TerraPower’s Natrium Reactor in Kemmerer, WY go “online”

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