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Top stories

India Names Ex-RBI Chief Urjit Patel IMF Executive Director

India Names Ex-RBI Chief Urjit Patel IMF Executive Director

Authors

3

11 months ago

France’s Lombard Sticks to 5.4% Deficit Goal, Downplays IMF Risk

France’s Lombard Sticks to 5.4% Deficit Goal, Downplays IMF Risk

Authors

16

1 year ago

Economists Warn Reeves’ UK Debt Path Risks 1976-Style IMF Bailout

Economists Warn Reeves’ UK Debt Path Risks 1976-Style IMF Bailout

Authors

15

11 months ago

IMF’s Gopinath Warns Global Debt Surge Risks Bond-Market Strain

Authors

5

1 year ago

Natural Resources

DR Congo and Ukraine Advance Critical Mineral Development With US Investment, Trump Support, KoBold Metals, and Dobra Lithium Tender

Authors

6

1 year ago

Brazil Lowers 2025-26 Inflation and GDP Forecasts; IMF Sees Panama GDP Growth at 4.5% Supported by Spending Cuts Plan

Authors

4

1 year ago

Rachel Reeves’ UK Faces 1970s-Style Debt Crisis With £50 Billion Shortfall, Borrowing Costs Above Greece, and Possible IMF Bailout

Authors

10

1 year ago

Goldman Sachs Projects China, India, US as Top Economies by 2075; UK GDP Share Declines to 2.1%

Authors

7

1 year ago

Prediction markets for International Monetary Fund

Will China overtake the United States as the world's largest economy before the end of 2050?

Apr 21, 8:10 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

65%chance

9945279

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1262

800

Will China surpass the United States economically, militarily, and scientifically before 2040?

Feb 18, 8:40 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

36.4%chance

1319418

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1808

935

Chat-style AI models will be a big part of 10% or more of workers's workflows in developed nations by 2027

Feb 2, 3:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.07%chance

1298015

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1846

1470

Which international organizations or agreements will the United States leave before 2029?

Jan 22, 1:22 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

223786

OptionProbability

Paris Climate Agreement

United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO)

World Health Organization (WHO)

United Nations Human Rights Council (UNHRC)

United Nations Relief and Works Agency (UNRWA)

World Trade Organization (WTO)

North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO)

International Labour Organization (ILO)

Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO)

Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)

World Intellectual Property Organization (WIPO)

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

World Bank

International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)

United Nations (UN)

International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO)

99

95

95

80

80

72

56

54

54

49

44

43

40

36

34

17

Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026?

Apr 6, 6:59 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM

27.38%chance

111562

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1723

468

China's nominal GDP exceeds EU's in 2027?

Apr 20, 3:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.36%chance

12840

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1013

987

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2030?

Jun 9, 5:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.16%chance

7139

OptionVotes

YES

NO

117

85

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2100?

Jun 10, 1:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61.79%chance

6121

OptionVotes

NO

YES

127

79

India touches 5 trillion dollar GDP in 2027?

Jul 1, 3:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.24%chance

694

OptionVotes

YES

NO

130

77

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2040?

Jun 9, 5:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52%chance

792

OptionVotes

NO

YES

104

96

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2045?

Jun 9, 5:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.28%chance

568

OptionVotes

NO

YES

111

90

When will Senegal lower their debt to GDP ratio below 100%?

Apr 21, 4:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

00

OptionProbability

May-Aug 2026

Sep-Dec 2026

Jan-Apr 2027

May-Aug 2027

Sep-Dec 2027

20

20

20

20

20

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