International Operations News

Novo Nordisk Cuts 2025 Sales and Profit Guidance, Shares Plunge Over 25%, Names Maziar Mike Doustdar as New CEO

5 days ago

Will the International Space Station be functional and crewed in 2025?

Jul 29, 1:27 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

97.4%chance

323376

OptionVotes

YES

3198

840

Prospera wins fight against Honduras

Sep 12, 2:17 PMMay 1, 8:59 PM

42%chance

372766

OptionVotes

YES

1206

796

Will Starship have a 99% success rate as of its 500th payload-carrying launch?

Jan 4, 2:01 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

74.6%chance

272368

OptionVotes

YES

1580

651

Will an astronaut's life be lost during any stage of spaceflight before 2030?

Jan 31, 4:04 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

33.55%chance

261714

OptionVotes

YES

1112

926

Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?

Jun 3, 9:34 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

41.23%chance

261358

OptionVotes

YES

1194

838

Do humans have free will?

Aug 19, 8:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.76%chance

351002

OptionVotes

YES

1465

828

Will renewable energy completely replace fossil fuels by 2040?

Jan 12, 12:44 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

12.72%chance

13785

OptionVotes

YES

998

781

Will major AI research institutions adopt AI tax policy as a research priority by the end of 2025?

Jul 11, 6:00 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

54.7%chance

2400

OptionVotes

YES

2198

1820

Will Manifold introduce an AI-based feature that automatically resolves markets by 2030?

Dec 29, 4:17 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

82.53%chance

14289

OptionVotes

YES

987

970

LNG import/export terminal destroyed for any reason before 2026.

Oct 1, 3:11 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

44%chance

12171

OptionVotes

YES

1006

993

Will an economic union be formed between the CANZUK nations before 2045?

Nov 22, 8:27 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

55.57%chance

451

OptionVotes

YES

Which international organization will formally invite MrBeast to join a global operations committee?

Jul 27, 6:52 PMDec 31, 7:50 PM

120

OptionProbability

Other

United Nations

World Health Organization

International Red Cross

World Wildlife Fund

Greenpeace

United Nations Environment Programme

United Nations Children's Fund (UNICEF)

World Food Programme

United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO)

International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN)

United Nations Development Programme (UNDP)

United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA)

United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR)

United Nations Human Settlements Programme (UN-Habitat)

United Nations Industrial Development Organization (UNIDO)

United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC)

United Nations Population Fund (UNFPA)

United Nations Entity for Gender Equality and the Empowerment of Women (UN Women)

United Nations International Children's Emergency Fund (UNICEF)

United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD)

International Labour Organization (ILO)

World Bank

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction (UNDRR)

United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS)

United Nations Office on Sport for Development and Peace (UNOSDP)

United Nations Office for Outer Space Affairs (UNOOSA)

United Nations Office for Disarmament Affairs (UNODA)

United Nations Office for Partnerships (UNOP)

United Nations Office for South-South Cooperation (UNOSSC)

United Nations Office for Sustainable Development (UNOSD)

United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS)

United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA)

United Nations Office for Outer Space Affairs (UNOOSA)

United Nations Office for Disarmament Affairs (UNODA)

United Nations Office for Partnerships (UNOP)

United Nations Office for South-South Cooperation (UNOSSC)

United Nations Office for Sustainable Development (UNOSD)

United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS)

United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA)

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Prediction markets for International Operations

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Prediction markets for International Operations

Will the International Space Station be functional and crewed in 2025?

Prospera wins fight against Honduras

Will Starship have a 99% success rate as of its 500th payload-carrying launch?

Will an astronaut's life be lost during any stage of spaceflight before 2030?

Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?

Do humans have free will?

Will renewable energy completely replace fossil fuels by 2040?

Will major AI research institutions adopt AI tax policy as a research priority by the end of 2025?

Will Manifold introduce an AI-based feature that automatically resolves markets by 2030?

LNG import/export terminal destroyed for any reason before 2026.

Will an economic union be formed between the CANZUK nations before 2045?

Which international organization will formally invite MrBeast to join a global operations committee?

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