International Strategy News

Trump's "reciprocal tariffs" found unlawful by courts and effectively ceased by EOY 2026?

Apr 21, 7:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.93%chance

235710

OptionVotes

YES

1104

906

Prospera wins fight against Honduras

Sep 12, 2:17 PMMay 1, 8:59 PM

55.66%chance

394057

OptionVotes

YES

1067

932

Meta sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?

Oct 30, 1:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.22%chance

14858

OptionVotes

YES

1271

787

Will China also kidnap the president of Taiwan in 2026?

Jan 6, 1:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.48%chance

11473

OptionVotes

YES

462

Will New Zealand's National-led Coalition Government Be Limited to a Single Term?

Feb 25, 3:54 AMNov 30, 10:59 AM

38.43%chance

11463

OptionVotes

YES

267

141

Will major AI research institutions adopt AI tax policy as a research priority by the end of 2027?

Jun 30, 9:06 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

4240

OptionProbability

Yes

Other

Will Japan produce hydrogen with nuclear power before 2031?

May 9, 8:02 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM

61.3%chance

4165

OptionVotes

YES

126

Daily distribution ETF by end of 2026?

Oct 26, 5:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20%chance

3102

OptionVotes

YES

200

Which Monetization Strategy Will Generate the Most Revenue for Ten Today?

Jul 3, 5:12 AMJul 3, 3:59 AM

175

OptionProbability

Merchandise

Manifold user donates money (email contact@tentoday.net to donate)

China and Somaliland Sovereignty

Jan 13, 6:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

230

OptionProbability

Somaliland recognised by less than 30 UN members in 2030 / China doesn't recognise

Somaliland recognised by more than 29 and less than 150 UN members in 2030 / China doesn't recognise

Somaliland recognised by more than 149 UN members in 2030 / China doesn't recognise

*China recognises Somaliland*

Whom of his own (individuals belonging to group) will Trump get rid of related to Venezuela (during term)? (add)

Jan 4, 7:17 AMJan 20, 11:59 AM

110

OptionProbability

Combatant commanders/Joint Chiefs

Cabinet member

How can I get this huge list of Google Photos bugs fixed? [currently a 43m long rambling video]

Nov 15, 10:47 PM

110

International Strategy News

Prediction markets for International Strategy

Prediction markets for International Strategy

Prediction markets for International Strategy

Trump's "reciprocal tariffs" found unlawful by courts and effectively ceased by EOY 2026?

Prospera wins fight against Honduras

Meta sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?

Will China also kidnap the president of Taiwan in 2026?

Will New Zealand's National-led Coalition Government Be Limited to a Single Term?

Will major AI research institutions adopt AI tax policy as a research priority by the end of 2027?

Will Japan produce hydrogen with nuclear power before 2031?

Daily distribution ETF by end of 2026?

Which Monetization Strategy Will Generate the Most Revenue for Ten Today?

China and Somaliland Sovereignty

Whom of his own (individuals belonging to group) will Trump get rid of related to Venezuela (during term)? (add)

How can I get this huge list of Google Photos bugs fixed? [currently a 43m long rambling video]

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