International Strategy News

Prospera wins fight against Honduras

Sep 12, 2:17 PMMay 1, 8:59 PM

55.66%chance

394057

OptionVotes

YES

1067

932

Meta sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?

Oct 30, 1:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.22%chance

14858

OptionVotes

YES

1271

787

Will China also kidnap the president of Taiwan in 2026?

Jan 6, 1:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.52%chance

13633

OptionVotes

YES

622

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.32%chance

10544

OptionVotes

YES

1063

784

Will New Zealand's National-led Coalition Government Be Limited to a Single Term?

Feb 25, 3:54 AMNov 30, 10:59 AM

34.77%chance

11483

OptionVotes

YES

287

129

Will Kyndryl Holdings recover from today's crash within 6 month?

Feb 9, 8:57 PMAug 9, 8:49 PM

15%chance

3315

OptionVotes

YES

238

Which happens first? [Ads in AI][OpenAI vs Anthropic]

Feb 9, 7:33 PMFeb 10, 5:59 AM

6211

OptionProbability

OpenAI significantly expands the scope of Ads in ChatGPT

OpenAI removes ads in ChatGPT

Anthropic adds Ads in one of their primary AI apps (currently Claude)

Will Japan produce hydrogen with nuclear power before 2031?

May 9, 8:02 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM

61.3%chance

4165

OptionVotes

YES

126

Will Glencore's Congo deal result in a 2% increase in global copper supply by July 2026?

Feb 17, 12:02 PMFeb 17, 12:02 PM

21.63%chance

2127

OptionVotes

YES

190

Daily distribution ETF by end of 2026?

Oct 26, 5:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20%chance

3102

OptionVotes

YES

200

When will Delta Airlines provide inflight wifi with less than 50ms of latency?

Mar 2, 4:08 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

140

OptionProbability

2036

2029

2030

2031

2032

2033

2034

2035

2026

2027

2028

China and Somaliland Sovereignty

Jan 13, 6:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

333

OptionProbability

Somaliland recognised by less than 30 UN members in 2030 / China doesn't recognise

Somaliland recognised by more than 29 and less than 150 UN members in 2030 / China doesn't recognise

Somaliland recognised by more than 149 UN members in 2030 / China doesn't recognise

*China recognises Somaliland*

International Strategy News

Prediction markets for International Strategy

Prediction markets for International Strategy

Prediction markets for International Strategy

Prospera wins fight against Honduras

Meta sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?

Will China also kidnap the president of Taiwan in 2026?

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Will New Zealand's National-led Coalition Government Be Limited to a Single Term?

Will Kyndryl Holdings recover from today's crash within 6 month?

Which happens first? [Ads in AI][OpenAI vs Anthropic]

Will Japan produce hydrogen with nuclear power before 2031?

Will Glencore's Congo deal result in a 2% increase in global copper supply by July 2026?

Daily distribution ETF by end of 2026?

When will Delta Airlines provide inflight wifi with less than 50ms of latency?

China and Somaliland Sovereignty

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