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Prediction markets for International Strategy

Prospera wins fight against Honduras

Sep 12, 2:17 PMMay 1, 8:59 PM

55.66%chance

394057

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1067

932

Meta sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?

Oct 30, 1:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.35%chance

211414

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1268

789

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.59%chance

12744

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1031

884

Will China also kidnap the president of Taiwan in 2026?

Jan 6, 1:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.17%chance

14683

OptionVotes

YES

NO

672

15

Will New Zealand's National-led Coalition Government Be Limited to a Single Term?

Feb 25, 3:54 AMNov 30, 10:59 AM

41.01%chance

12503

OptionVotes

YES

NO

254

149

Will Kyndryl Holdings recover from today's crash within 6 month?

Feb 9, 8:57 PMAug 9, 8:49 PM

15%chance

3315

OptionVotes

YES

NO

238

42

Will major AI research institutions adopt AI tax policy as a research priority by the end of 2027?

Jun 30, 9:06 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

4240

OptionProbability

Yes

No

Other

54

23

23

Will Glencore's Congo deal result in a 2% increase in global copper supply by July 2026?

Feb 17, 12:02 PMFeb 17, 12:02 PM

10.61%chance

3227

OptionVotes

YES

NO

290

34

Will Japan produce hydrogen with nuclear power before 2031?

May 9, 8:02 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM

61.3%chance

4165

OptionVotes

NO

YES

126

79

Which Monetization Strategy Will Generate the Most Revenue for Ten Today?

Jul 3, 5:12 AMJul 3, 3:59 AM

175

OptionProbability

Merchandise

Manifold user donates money (email contact@tentoday.net to donate)

75

50

Will Indonesia primary aluminum production exceed 1 Mt as of October 2027?

May 4, 5:16 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

68.86%chance

215

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

92

Whom of his own (individuals belonging to group) will Trump get rid of related to Venezuela (during term)? (add)

Jan 4, 7:17 AMJan 20, 11:59 AM

110

OptionProbability

Combatant commanders/Joint Chiefs

Cabinet member

50

47

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