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Prediction markets for International Strategy

Trump's "reciprocal tariffs" found unlawful by courts and effectively ceased by EOY 2025?

Apr 6, 7:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.01%chance

365853

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1425

702

Prospera wins fight against Honduras

Sep 12, 2:17 PMMay 1, 8:59 PM

42%chance

372766

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1206

796

Trump's "reciprocal tariffs" found unlawful by courts and effectively ceased by EOY 2026?

Apr 21, 7:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.36%chance

132605

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1167

857

100k unauthorized immigrants “self-deport” using CBP Home app by 2026?

May 5, 5:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.25%chance

81535

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1984

504

Israel deploys nuclear weapons in 2025?

Jun 13, 8:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.66%chance

10964

OptionVotes

YES

NO

605

17

Will major AI research institutions adopt AI tax policy as a research priority by the end of 2025?

Jul 11, 6:00 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

54.7%chance

2400

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2198

1820

Will major AI research institutions adopt AI tax policy as a research priority by the end of 2027?

Jun 30, 9:06 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

4240

OptionProbability

Yes

No

Other

54

23

23

Will New Zealand's National-led Coalition Government Be Limited to a Single Term?

Feb 25, 3:54 AMNov 30, 10:59 AM

54.07%chance

6227

OptionVotes

YES

NO

200

199

Which Monetization Strategy Will Generate the Most Revenue for Ten Today?

Jul 3, 5:12 AMJul 3, 3:59 AM

175

OptionProbability

Merchandise

Manifold user donates money (email contact@tentoday.net to donate)

75

50

Will Japan produce hydrogen with nuclear power before 2031?

May 9, 8:02 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM

71.51%chance

260

OptionVotes

NO

YES

158

63

How can I get this huge list of Google Photos bugs fixed? [currently a 43m long rambling video]

Nov 15, 10:47 PM

110

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