OptionVotes
YES
NO
2085
480
OptionProbability
US/Israeli announce Iran navy annihilated. All surface ships bigger than 10 tons. Small subs also not counted
Regular opposition broadcasts hacking Iran TV 3 more times. Like the State TV/IRIB satellite hack.
A brigade or base commander in any city switches sides
One or more Town(s), city(s), declare as free of iran regime control for over 2 days
Interim council fractures, or all current dead or one member defects publicly
High Profile flips - 2+ named officers go on video via Starlink calling on units to stand down or defect.
100
69
56
48
32
1194
934
China will dominate the global economy.
The AI bubble will NOT pop.
The trade war will broaden.
More and more governments will hit a debt limit.
China will blockade Taiwan.
72
63
59
44
5
2036
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2026
2027
2028
20
8
7
