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Prediction markets for Internet Service Provider

Will AI be life-changing for muggles by the end of 2029?

Oct 10, 8:46 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

66.01%chance

10726001

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1394

718

When will first 2025 Dutch government cyberbreach happen?

Dec 21, 7:38 PMJan 31, 10:59 PM

61847

OptionProbability

Q4 - October, November, December 2025

Q3 - July, August, September 2025

Q1 - January, February, March 2025

Q2 - April, May, June 2025

42

40

9

9

When will Basic Post Scarcity Economy be achieved by a nation state?

Jun 12, 2:55 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

13391

OptionProbability

2080

Other

2070

AFTER widespread Bitcoin adoption

2050

Lmao

2060

2090

2040

2100

2110

2130

2140

2150

2160

2170

2180

2190

2200

2120

15

14

12

11

9

8

8

8

8

3

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

When will we have a KRANTZ capable system? (defined below)

Dec 10, 7:13 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

6229

OptionProbability

Within 12 months after Eliezer reviews my work.

2050

2100

2030

2040

2028

2029

2027

2026

2025

72

41

31

26

26

20

20

14

10

8

Will a solar storm cause a >24-hour internet outage in any top 10 populous city by 2025 end?

Nov 19, 5:46 AMDec 30, 6:40 PM

15.23%chance

496

OptionVotes

NO

YES

95

49

If AI were the internet, what year would we be in with regards to progress and maturity

Feb 16, 11:53 PM

240

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