Inven News

Has Taj Quantum invented a room-temperature, ambient-pressure superconductor?

Jul 30, 9:42 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

2.44%chance

13686082

OptionVotes

YES

6685

1740

Will Vitalik Buterin (co-founder and inventor of Ethereum) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Nov 29, 3:46 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.24%chance

287553

OptionVotes

YES

1580

927

Will Humans invent immortality by 2100

Jan 11, 11:43 PMJan 18, 11:59 PM

77.66%chance

181832

OptionVotes

YES

1901

271

Greatest Inventor of All-Time

May 14, 6:00 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

171596

OptionProbability

Alan Turing

Tuk Tuk (first person to make & use fire)

Louis Pasteur

Leonardo DaVinci

Charles Babbage

Oowoo (first Australopithecus to create Lomekwian stone tools, ~3.3Mya)

Awa (first upper-paleolithic human to record animal birth cycle months with tally dots on cave paintings aka the first proto-writing, ~42kya)

Nikola Tesla

Thomas Edison

Johannes Gutenberg

Marie Curie

Ann Tsukamoto (stem cell isolation)

Charles Goodyear

Steve Jobs

Hedy Lamarr

Ernst Gräfenberg

John S. Pemberton

Will a vacuum lift technology be discovered or invented before 2040?

Jun 28, 12:58 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14.25%chance

281570

OptionVotes

YES

1526

837

By 2030, will an AI be officially designated as the patent holder for an invention?

May 19, 6:49 PMDec 31, 6:29 AM

24.14%chance

551295

OptionVotes

YES

999

985

Will anyone die from a weaponized pathogen invented by AI by 2029?

Sep 22, 6:04 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

23.6%chance

271104

OptionVotes

YES

1040

777

Will we invent telepathic like communication by the year 2100

Jan 20, 6:14 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

78.36%chance

30789

OptionVotes

YES

783

454

Altay tank enters Turkish Armed Forces inventory before September 1st 2025

Jan 24, 3:44 PMSep 1, 12:00 AM

69.75%chance

5355

OptionVotes

YES

152

Will a Nobel prize be awarded for the invention of AGI before 2050?

Feb 20, 3:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.68%chance

15278

OptionVotes

YES

126

107

First year in which Merriam Webster adds a new English word which was known to have been invented by an AI

Oct 28, 4:41 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

456

OptionProbability

2033 or later or never

2030

2029

2031

2032

2026

2027

2028

2025

Will the invention of AGI lead humanity to post-scarcity? (permanent)

Mar 25, 12:48 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

212

OptionProbability

YES

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Has Taj Quantum invented a room-temperature, ambient-pressure superconductor?

Will Vitalik Buterin (co-founder and inventor of Ethereum) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Will Humans invent immortality by 2100

Greatest Inventor of All-Time

Will a vacuum lift technology be discovered or invented before 2040?

By 2030, will an AI be officially designated as the patent holder for an invention?

Will anyone die from a weaponized pathogen invented by AI by 2029?

Will we invent telepathic like communication by the year 2100

Altay tank enters Turkish Armed Forces inventory before September 1st 2025

Will a Nobel prize be awarded for the invention of AGI before 2050?

First year in which Merriam Webster adds a new English word which was known to have been invented by an AI

Will the invention of AGI lead humanity to post-scarcity? (permanent)

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