Investment Company Institute News

U.S. Bankruptcies Surpass 2020 Levels With 446 Filings YTD, 71 in July; Money-Market Assets Hit $7.19 Trillion

6 months ago

1. Anthropic will go public. OpenAI will not.

Dec 28, 11:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.56%chance

265578

OptionVotes

YES

1545

648

AI bubble pops in 2026?

Nov 10, 12:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25%chance

455355

OptionVotes

YES

3439

2470

Will Malik Samara found or lead a company with a valuation of at least $100 million by December 31, 2026?

Jan 18, 6:31 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

1269

OptionProbability

Yes, $100M+ valuation achieved by December 31, 2026

No, $100M+ valuation not achieved by December 31, 2026

Unresolvable / Ambiguous

Other

US-UK Tech Prosperity Deal reinstated during Q1 2026

Jan 3, 5:25 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

46.54%chance

282

OptionVotes

YES

300

Which of these AI companies will shut down first?

Nov 3, 2:52 PMDec 31, 2:48 PM

438

OptionProbability

Perplexity

Other

OpenAI

Anthropic

xAI

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Prediction markets for Investment Company Institute

Prediction markets for Investment Company Institute

Prediction markets for Investment Company Institute

1. Anthropic will go public. OpenAI will not.

AI bubble pops in 2026?

Will Malik Samara found or lead a company with a valuation of at least $100 million by December 31, 2026?

US-UK Tech Prosperity Deal reinstated during Q1 2026

Which of these AI companies will shut down first?

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