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Prediction markets for Investor Relations

What will be the annualized nominal return of Bitcoin from 2023 to 2100? (5x amplified)

May 9, 8:42 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

36.1%chance

2218272

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1041

910

AI bubble pops in 2026?

Nov 10, 12:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.89%chance

8313640

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5343

2013

Will Rio Tinto's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 3.4 million tonnes?

May 4, 5:53 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

58.31%chance

66603

OptionVotes

NO

YES

11826

8456

Will Rio Tinto's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 3.4 million tonnes?

May 4, 5:53 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

64.03%chance

85478

OptionVotes

NO

YES

13342

7495

Alcoa's aluminum segment 2026 production exceeds 2.3 Mt (2,300 kt)

Jan 12, 7:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

90.54%chance

163220

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3095

323

How many units in total will the Nintendo Switch 2 have sold by the end of 2026?

Feb 5, 6:51 AMFeb 6, 11:59 PM

81438

OptionProbability

More than 25 Million units

More than 28 Million units

More than 30 Million units

More than 32 Million units

More than 34 Million units

More than 36 Million units

More than 38 Million units

More than 40 Million units

More than 45 Million units

More than 50 Million units

84

59

51

45

43

40

28

17

14

12

By 2030, will demand for cow products have fallen by 70%?

Feb 23, 12:12 AMDec 31, 1:00 PM

8.21%chance

151013

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1381

930

Will at least 25% of US retail investors report using an AI agent for an investment-related task by the end of 2027?

May 11, 4:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

74.09%chance

4790

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1691

591

Wagerup 2026 alumina production exceeds 2.5 Mt (2,500 kt)

Jan 12, 7:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

57.89%chance

7769

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1173

853

Will Perplexity become profitable by EOY 2027?

May 19, 12:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.27%chance

9157

OptionVotes

YES

NO

236

42

Will Uber take over Delivery Hero until end of 2026?

Aug 27, 4:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.53%chance

4150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

203

49

Will Apple introduce an AI assistant product that can speak and display basic human-like emotions before EOY 2027

Jan 3, 9:14 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.06%chance

6105

OptionVotes

NO

YES

131

77

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