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Investor Relations News

Will Gavin Baker's forecast that it'll be abjectly humiliating for everyone who is a Tesla FSD skeptic hold?

Aug 27, 8:13 PMFeb 2, 2:59 AM

5654219

OptionProbability

18-months (27th Jan 2026)

6 months (27th Jan 2025)

12 months (27th Aug 2025)

20

0

0

Will Apple announce it has agreed to acquire Disney by the end of 2025?

Nov 12, 11:10 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

1%chance

4425459

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11640

589

What will be the annualized nominal return of Bitcoin from 2023 to 2100? (5x amplified)

May 9, 8:42 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

40%chance

2217614

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1099

815

How many units will the Nintendo Switch 2 sell in 2025?

Jan 17, 12:29 AMMar 3, 1:29 PM

256924

OptionProbability

At least 1 million units

At least 5 million units

At least 6 million units

At least 7 million units

At least 8 million units

At least 10 million units

At least 9 million units

At least 11 million units

At least 12 million units

At least 13 million units

At least 14 million units

At least 15 million units

At least 17 million units

At least 16 million units

At least 18 million units

At least 19 million units

At least 20 million units

At least 21 million units

At least 22 million units

At least 23 million units

At least 24 million units

At least 25 million units

At least 26 million units

At least 27 million units

At least 28 million units

At least 29 million units

At least 32 million units

At least 30 million units

At least 31 million units

At least 33 million units

At least 34 million units

At least 35 million units

At least 36 million units

At least 37 million units

At least 38 million units

At least 39 million units

At least 40 million units

At least 41 million units

At least 42 million units

At least 43 million units

At least 44 million units

At least 45 million units

At least 46 million units

At least 47 million units

At least 48 million units

At least 49 million units

At least 50 million units

At least 55 million units

At least 60 million units

At least 65 million units

At least 70 million units

At least 75 million units

At least 80 million units

At least 85 million units

At least 90 million units

At least 100 million units

100

100

100

100

100

100

99

99

99

96

74

74

73

68

68

68

67

58

58

44

43

19

19

17

9

9

9

8

8

8

8

8

8

8

8

8

7

6

6

5

5

4

4

4

4

4

3

3

3

3

3

3

2

1

1

1

Will the Nintendo Switch become the best-selling game console of all time by outselling the Playstation 2 before 2026?

May 27, 7:32 PMJan 2, 12:30 PM

13.23%chance

406439

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2335

446

Harvey AI publicly announces $200M+ ARR by EOY2026?

Aug 3, 11:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.64%chance

54932

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13437

7442

Relativity Space Fails by December 31, 2025

Nov 25, 1:32 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5.02%chance

53460

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4365

231

Will the Nintendo Switch outsell the Nintendo DS before 2026?

May 27, 3:55 AMFeb 2, 12:30 PM

97.58%chance

131781

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1069

57

By 2030, will demand for cow products have fallen by 70%?

Feb 23, 12:12 AMDec 31, 1:00 PM

8.21%chance

151013

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1381

930

Will Meta’s stock split before 2026?

Mar 1, 12:44 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3.67%chance

7712

OptionVotes

YES

NO

512

20

Which hyperscaler is Applied Digital's Polaris Forge 2 tenant?

Oct 22, 6:59 PMDec 31, 7:58 PM

2635

OptionProbability

Microsoft

Amazon

Google

Meta

Oracle

Other/Undisclosed

36

14

14

14

14

7

Will QS Announce a Large Form Factor Cell in 2026

Dec 21, 6:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

87.66%chance

10219

OptionVotes

NO

YES

266

38

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