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Prediction markets for Ion

EV powered by CATL's Naxtra sodium-ion battery to ship commercially by EOY 2026?

Jan 6, 2:38 AMJan 31, 4:59 AM

74.9%chance

132991

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1728

579

Will the USA have >=1TWh/yr of installed lithium ion battery production capacity by 2030?

Oct 12, 2:20 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

81.36%chance

9189

OptionVotes

NO

YES

227

53

Sodium ion battery for $10/kWh by EOY 2026?

Sep 7, 10:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.69%chance

5181

OptionVotes

YES

NO

251

40

What will be the market share of sodium-ion batteries in EVs by 2030?

Jan 8, 6:59 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

235

OptionProbability

15% to 25%

25% to 50%

5% to 15%

0% to 5%

Over 50%

27

27

18

14

14

Will Laurence Ion be awakened to the urgency of microplastic reduction the next time he does psychedelics by 2028?

May 17, 9:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.17%chance

230

OptionVotes

YES

NO

130

77

Will Natural graphite share of EV lithium-ion battery anode material by mass exceed 55 percent on September 30, 2026?

Apr 7, 2:18 PMSep 30, 4:00 AM

56.94%chance

115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

Will Natural graphite share of EV lithium-ion battery anode material by mass exceed 55 percent on March 31, 2027?

Apr 7, 2:18 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

56.94%chance

115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

Will Natural graphite share of EV lithium-ion battery anode material by mass exceed 35 percent on March 31, 2027?

Apr 7, 2:18 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

56.94%chance

115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

Will Natural graphite share of EV lithium-ion battery anode material by mass exceed 70 percent on March 31, 2027?

Apr 7, 2:18 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

56.94%chance

115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

Will Natural graphite share of EV lithium-ion battery anode material by mass exceed 70 percent on September 30, 2026?

Apr 7, 2:18 PMSep 30, 4:00 AM

56.94%chance

115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

Will Laurence Ion and Rochelle Shen end up in a relationship or falling in love by EOY2028?

Dec 13, 8:38 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50.99%chance

12

OptionVotes

NO

YES

102

98

Convincing YouTube video of Laurence ion and Dan dascalescu dancing to the numa numa song by EOY 2028

Jul 4, 10:16 PMJul 12, 3:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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