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Top stories

Democrats Consider Mini National Convention Before 2026 Midterms to Energize Voters Amid Struggles Against Trump

Democrats Consider Mini National Convention Before 2026 Midterms to Energize Voters Amid Struggles Against Trump

Authors

9

1 year ago

Democrats Debate 2028 Primary Calendar as Iowa Eyes Rogue Caucus Amid 4.5 Million Voter Deficit and 2030 Census Shift

Democrats Debate 2028 Primary Calendar as Iowa Eyes Rogue Caucus Amid 4.5 Million Voter Deficit and 2030 Census Shift

Authors

20

1 year ago

Iowa Republican Joni Ernst Will Not Seek Senate Re-election in 2026

US Gov Appointments

Iowa Republican Joni Ernst Will Not Seek Senate Re-election in 2026

Authors

5

1 year ago

Iowa Democrats Consider Going Rogue to Lead 2028 Primary After Losing Early Spot in 2024

Authors

5

1 year ago

63% Democrats Oppose Gerrymandering; Back California’s Redistricting Response as Texas Advances Maps; Iowa Eyes Rogue 2028 Caucuses

Authors

17

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Iowa Democrats

Which party will win Iowa's 2026 Gubernatorial Election?

Dec 30, 3:48 AMJan 25, 3:43 AM

1916474

OptionProbability

Democrat

Republican

Third Party/Other

78

22

0

Will Democrats win Iowa in 2026?

Feb 11, 9:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

256666

OptionProbability

Democrats win both senate and governor

Democrats win governor ONLY

Democrats don’t win senate or governor

Democrats win senate ONLY

43

33

22

2

Democrats win Iowa, Texas or both in the 2026 US Senate elections?

Jan 24, 6:16 AMNov 4, 12:00 AM

57.81%chance

27881

OptionVotes

NO

YES

134

103

Will Democrats win any of Alaska, Iowa, or Ohio in the Senate races this year?

Feb 6, 11:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70%chance

23605

OptionVotes

NO

YES

153

65

Will Democrats win Ohio and lose Iowa in the 2026 US senate elections?

Sep 6, 8:28 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

24.72%chance

6567

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1411

824

Which Iowa congressional districts will the Democrats win in the 2026 midterms?

Feb 18, 7:23 AMNov 4, 12:00 AM

11392

OptionProbability

Iowa's 3rd Congressional District

Iowa's 1st Congressional District

Iowa's 2nd Congressional District

Iowa's 4th Congressional District

77

71

49

8

Who will win the 2028 Iowa Democratic presidential caucuses?

Mar 10, 10:48 PMSep 1, 4:59 AM

11321

OptionProbability

Other

Gavin Newsom

Josh Shapiro

Pete Buttigieg

Tim Walz

Cory Booker

Gretchen Whitmer

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

JB Pritzker

Kamala Harris

No one

Wes Moore

23

18

11

9

9

7

5

5

5

4

2

2

If Josh Turek is the Democratic nominee, will he win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

Feb 9, 6:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.91%chance

8292

OptionVotes

YES

NO

120

83

Will Democratic candidate Josh Turek win Dubuque County in the IA-SEN election?

Sep 17, 3:00 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

75.45%chance

3107

OptionVotes

NO

YES

175

57

Will a Democrat win Iowa for President by 2050?

Apr 20, 2:37 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

53.46%chance

4106

OptionVotes

NO

YES

114

106

Will Democrats win 2026 Iowa governor election?

Sep 19, 8:39 PMNov 11, 11:00 AM

74.34%chance

243

OptionVotes

YES

NO

107

77

Democrats win Iowa, Texas or both in the 2026 US Senate elections?

Aug 12, 4:29 PMNov 4, 12:00 AM

56.92%chance

424

OptionVotes

YES

NO

102

97

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