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Prediction markets for IPO

Will Polymarket IPO before 2028?

Jul 22, 10:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

62.71%chance

2938199

OptionVotes

NO

YES

12969

7711

When will Anthropic IPO?

Jul 29, 5:37 PMDec 31, 5:59 PM

2537198

OptionProbability

2029 or later or not at all

2026 Q3

2026 Q4

2026 Q2

2028

2027 Q1

2027 Q4

2026 Q1

2027 Q3

2027 Q2

2025 Q3

2025 Q4

20

14

12

11

10

7

7

6

6

5

1

1

Will Manifold IPO by 2030?

Aug 4, 2:30 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

11%chance

3011562

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3410

524

Will OpenAI IPO by 2030?

Dec 19, 10:23 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

84.12%chance

503826

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2163

195

Will Starlink IPO by the end 2027?

Jan 14, 3:07 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

24.39%chance

203819

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1796

235

Will Databricks IPO before January 1, 2026?

Dec 18, 2:21 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

2.68%chance

263079

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2874

22

Will IPO count exceed 300 any year between 2024-2027? (AI boom?)

Apr 9, 6:51 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

69.58%chance

182728

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1104

937

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Nov 2, 12:48 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

26.28%chance

252537

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1675

597

Will Anthropic IPO before 2030?

Mar 6, 12:24 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

82.12%chance

262054

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2115

264

OpenAI IPO before 2028?

Nov 2, 12:49 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

58.52%chance

151133

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1188

842

Will Elon Musk take Twitter public (IPO) anytime in the future?

Oct 31, 5:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

62.63%chance

16809

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1010

951

OpenAI IPO before 2029?

Nov 2, 1:25 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

71.96%chance

9750

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1602

624

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