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Prediction markets for IPO

When will Anthropic IPO?

Jul 29, 5:37 PMDec 31, 5:59 PM

127289361

OptionProbability

2026 Q4

2026 Q3

2027 Q1

2027 Q2

2029 or later or not at all

2026 Q2

2027 Q3

2027 Q4

2028

2025 Q3

2025 Q4

2026 Q1

51

24

17

2

2

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Jun 5, 2:50 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52122411

OptionProbability

SpaceX

Anthropic

OpenAi

Other

84

13

3

0

Will Polymarket IPO before 2028?

Jul 22, 10:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.17%chance

4942146

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10443

9576

Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than OpenAI after both IPO?

Jan 31, 9:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69%chance

11739485

OptionVotes

NO

YES

15373

6183

[ACX 2026] Will OpenAI file for an IPO during 2026?

Jan 6, 11:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

74.58%chance

8132042

OptionVotes

NO

YES

9023

1253

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Nov 2, 12:48 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

54.16%chance

9831741

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1087

920

Will Manifold IPO by 2030?

Aug 4, 2:30 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

10%chance

3712837

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3621

500

Will OpenAI IPO by 2030?

Dec 19, 10:23 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

93.67%chance

575716

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3016

97

Will Starlink IPO by the end 2027?

Jan 14, 3:07 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

70%chance

224938

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1015

960

Will Anthropic IPO before 2030?

Mar 6, 12:24 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

94.04%chance

344798

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3316

121

Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than SpaceX after both IPO?

Apr 20, 9:30 PMApr 20, 9:29 PM

31.64%chance

213928

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2318

1737

Will SpaceX market cap be higher 1 year after IPO?

May 16, 3:13 AMMay 16, 3:12 AM

62.2%chance

8686

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1013

979

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