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Prediction markets for IPO

When will Anthropic IPO?

Jul 29, 5:37 PMDec 31, 5:59 PM

134338222

OptionProbability

2026 Q4

2027 Q1

2026 Q3

2027 Q2

2029 or later or not at all

2027 Q3

2026 Q2

2027 Q4

2028

2025 Q3

2025 Q4

2026 Q1

59

21

6

5

4

2

1

1

1

0

0

0

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Jun 5, 2:50 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

58127042

OptionProbability

SpaceX

Anthropic

OpenAi

Other

76

22

2

0

[ACX 2026] Will OpenAI file for an IPO during 2026?

Jan 6, 11:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.52%chance

9952878

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9485

3955

Will Polymarket IPO before 2028?

Jul 22, 10:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.19%chance

5042151

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10448

9571

Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than OpenAI after both IPO?

Jan 31, 9:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69.26%chance

12139591

OptionVotes

NO

YES

15461

6143

Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than SpaceX after both IPO?

Apr 20, 9:30 PMApr 20, 9:29 PM

75.05%chance

3515447

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3549

729

Will Manifold IPO by 2030?

Aug 4, 2:30 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

9.57%chance

3812937

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3721

490

Will Anthropic have the largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Jul 18, 5:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2010118

OptionProbability

No [Anthropic < SpaceX]

No [Anthropic does not IPO in 2026]

Yes

No [SpaceX < Anthropic < Other company]

47

31

18

4

Will Starlink IPO by the end 2027?

Jan 14, 3:07 AMJan 1, 2:56 AM

40.2%chance

287083

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1453

396

Will OpenAI IPO by 2030?

Dec 19, 10:23 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

93.58%chance

585717

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3001

98

Will Anthropic IPO before 2030?

Mar 6, 12:24 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

93.82%chance

354801

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3270

124

Will SpaceX market cap be higher 1 year after IPO?

May 16, 3:13 AMMay 16, 3:12 AM

33.18%chance

161774

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1578

460

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