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Prediction markets for IPO

When will Anthropic IPO?

Jul 29, 5:37 PMDec 31, 5:59 PM

171399153

OptionProbability

2026 Q4

2027 Q1

2027 Q2

2029 or later or not at all

2027 Q3

2028

2025 Q3

2025 Q4

2026 Q1

2026 Q2

2026 Q3

2027 Q4

71

19

4

2

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO?

Sep 5, 3:34 AMOct 31, 5:47 AM

5.73%chance

336358529

OptionVotes

YES

NO

39949

5059

[ACX 2026] Will OpenAI file for an IPO during 2026?

Jan 6, 11:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.7%chance

10969862

OptionVotes

YES

NO

17496

3081

Will Anthropic have the largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Jul 18, 5:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8247497

OptionProbability

Yes

No [Anthropic < SpaceX]

No [Anthropic does not IPO in 2026]

No [SpaceX < Anthropic < Other company]

60

20

19

1

Will Polymarket IPO before 2028?

Jul 22, 10:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

43.05%chance

5445558

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11502

8694

Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than OpenAI after both IPO?

Jan 31, 9:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.72%chance

12942257

OptionVotes

NO

YES

13747

7005

Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than SpaceX after both IPO?

Apr 20, 9:30 PMApr 20, 9:29 PM

69.34%chance

3715965

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3183

869

Will Manifold IPO by 2030?

Aug 4, 2:30 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

9.57%chance

3812937

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3721

490

Will Starlink IPO by the end 2027?

Jan 14, 3:07 AMJan 1, 2:56 AM

40.2%chance

287083

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1453

396

Will OpenAI IPO by 2030?

Dec 19, 10:23 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

93.58%chance

585717

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3001

98

Will SpaceX market cap be higher 1 year after IPO?

May 16, 3:13 AMMay 16, 3:12 AM

41.16%chance

181997

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1390

571

Will Anthropic’s IPO S-1 be public by 16 October 2026?

Sep 23, 5:09 PMOct 15, 11:59 PM

53.33%chance

5205

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5495

5433

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