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Top stories

Democrats Tout Inflation Reduction Act Gains on Third Anniversary

Democrats Tout Inflation Reduction Act Gains on Third Anniversary

Authors

7

9 months ago

Prediction markets for IRA

Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?

Dec 31, 12:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.22%chance

18822671893

OptionVotes

YES

NO

22557

6183

Will a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?

Mar 22, 1:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24148516

OptionProbability

No

Yes

99

1

Will the U.S. deploy 1000 ground troops in Iran in 2026?

Mar 3, 4:02 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.27%chance

20674100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1971

320

Will the US invade Iran before the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 5:39 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

24%chance

19155378

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8691

3336

Will the Iranian regime be overthrown?

Jan 3, 3:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.94%chance

8832150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11964

1860

Will Iran become more authoritarian in 2026?

Mar 13, 8:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69.89%chance

879459

OptionVotes

NO

YES

7055

5411

What will be the IRS limit for IRA contributions in 2027?

Nov 14, 6:13 AMNov 16, 7:59 AM

33681

OptionProbability

7500

8000

8500

Other

9000

54

23

11

8

4

Will the "Backdoor" Roth IRA loophole be removed by 2030?

Jan 22, 6:38 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

25.38%chance

10425

OptionVotes

YES

NO

257

183

Will the US DOE FEOC graphite waiver (IRA $7,500 EV credit) be active on June 30, 2027?

Apr 7, 2:27 PMJun 30, 4:00 AM

37.06%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

80

Will more than 50 percent of IRA Sections 45, 45Y, 48 and 48E tax credits be cut by EOY2027

Jul 15, 1:03 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will less then 50 percent of IRA 30C Alternative Fuel Vehicle Refueling Property Credit survive thru EOY2027?

Jul 15, 1:10 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will the US DOE FEOC graphite waiver (IRA $7,500 EV credit) be active on December 31, 2026?

Apr 7, 2:27 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

85%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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