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Prediction markets for Iran International

Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?

Dec 31, 12:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29%chance

10021128288

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11970

8794

Will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall by 2030?

Dec 16, 2:35 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

56.55%chance

162342458

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1142

877

US - Iran nuclear deal by end of June?

Feb 3, 3:21 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

27%chance

3521889

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1644

608

Will Israel or the United States launch airstrikes against Iran before the next Israeli election?

Jan 5, 9:31 PMOct 28, 6:59 AM

69.8%chance

7515359

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1521

658

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Jan 11, 1:38 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.67%chance

7313995

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1048

955

Will the Iranian regime be overthrown?

Jan 3, 3:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.66%chance

5510864

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7931

2959

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026

Jan 13, 11:54 PMJun 29, 11:59 PM

62.66%chance

466733

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1296

772

Will the Iranian protests end tragically?

Jan 9, 11:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.28%chance

286614

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1576

635

Will Iran enrich uranium to weapons grade in 2026?

Dec 29, 11:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.45%chance

182964

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2927

342

If the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran falls by 2030, will Reza Pahlavi lead the new government a year later?

Jan 8, 12:14 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.13%chance

181543

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1341

866

Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?

Jun 3, 9:34 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

41.79%chance

271368

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1207

867

Will a war resulting in over one million fatalities within one year occur before 2035?

Jun 1, 6:33 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

34.36%chance

201053

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1126

908

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