Iron News

Will Israel deploy Iron Beam defense in 2025?

Oct 28, 8:36 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM

88.62%chance

257989

OptionVotes

YES

2790

358

IRON MEN: Which 6 of these 12 politicians will keep power longer? The first six "out" go to 0%, remaining six go to 100%

Jan 8, 5:27 PMFeb 2, 7:59 AM

214611

OptionProbability

Kim Jong Un, Supreme Leader of North Korea, 1982/1983/1984

Xi Jinping, General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party, 1953

Vladimir Putin, President of Russia, 1952

Alexander Lukashenko, President of Belarus, 1954

Narendra Modi, Prime Minister of India, 1950

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, President of Turkey, 1954

Volodymyr Zelenskyy, President of Ukraine, 1978

Viktor Orbán, Prime Minister of Hungary, 1963

Nicolas Maduro, President of Venezuela, 1962

Mahmoud Abbas, President of the State of Palestine and Palestinian National Authority, 1935

Donald Trump, US President, 1946

Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Supreme Leader of Iran, 1939

Will global iron + steel slag output exceed 600 million tonnes in 2030?

Nov 26, 5:09 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48.13%chance

2418

OptionVotes

YES

10381

9633

Is the giant straw hat in Mary Geoise related to the iron giant in Egghead?

Apr 2, 11:12 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

60.35%chance

7305

OptionVotes

YES

311

219

Will Trump build an American Iron Dome?

Jul 19, 3:55 AMJan 20, 3:59 AM

30.91%chance

11271

OptionVotes

YES

149

Will Robert Downey Jr. appear as Iron Man again in the MCU?

Nov 5, 6:31 PMNov 12, 10:59 PM

89.71%chance

9258

OptionVotes

YES

207

Prediction markets for Iron

Prediction markets for Iron

Prediction markets for Iron

Will Israel deploy Iron Beam defense in 2025?

IRON MEN: Which 6 of these 12 politicians will keep power longer? The first six "out" go to 0%, remaining six go to 100%

Will global iron + steel slag output exceed 600 million tonnes in 2030?

Is the giant straw hat in Mary Geoise related to the iron giant in Egghead?

Will Trump build an American Iron Dome?

Will Robert Downey Jr. appear as Iron Man again in the MCU?

Will the FDA approve skin patches for iron deficiency anemia by EOY 2026?

Will "Ironing Out the Squiggles" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

World blast-furnace iron slag output ≥355M tonnes by end-2026?

Global iron + steel slag output exceeds 595M tonnes by end-2026?

Non-celebrity Vintage Boss Katana amplifier sells for more than price of 20 metric tons of iron ore or scrap by 2050

Global iron + steel slag intensity ≥ 0.31 tonnes per tonne of crude steel in 2026?

Latest stories