Iron News

Will Israel deploy Iron Beam defense in 2025?

Oct 28, 8:36 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM

89.45%chance

257974

OptionVotes

YES

2912

343

IRON MEN: Which 6 of these 12 politicians will keep power longer? The first six "out" go to 0%, remaining six go to 100%

Jan 8, 5:27 PMFeb 2, 7:59 AM

193955

OptionProbability

Kim Jong Un, Supreme Leader of North Korea, 1982/1983/1984

Xi Jinping, General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party, 1953

Vladimir Putin, President of Russia, 1952

Alexander Lukashenko, President of Belarus, 1954

Narendra Modi, Prime Minister of India, 1950

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, President of Turkey, 1954

Volodymyr Zelenskyy, President of Ukraine, 1978

Nicolas Maduro, President of Venezuela, 1962

Viktor Orbán, Prime Minister of Hungary, 1963

Mahmoud Abbas, President of the State of Palestine and Palestinian National Authority, 1935

Donald Trump, US President, 1946

Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Supreme Leader of Iran, 1939

Will we able to buy a robot in 2035 in Italy for less than 50k € that can do the following:

Apr 13, 7:31 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

20735

OptionProbability

Opening food cans

Doing my nails

At least 5 of the above

Washing the dishes/filling and refilling wash machine

Hunting obnoxious insects at home

Cooking food

Washing, drying and ironing clothes

Buying food on my behalf

Cleaning home

Taking my car to refill

Taking my car to the mechanic

Driving my car

Giving me a haircut

All the above

100

💿Who will be inducted into the Rock & Roll Hall of Fame in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]

Apr 28, 3:09 AMMay 1, 10:59 PM

7730

OptionProbability

Gorillaz

Devo

The Smiths

John Coltrane

Brian Eno

Björk

Blink 182

Joy Division OR New Order

Iron Maiden

Oasis

Linkin Park

OK Go

Muse

System of a Down

Soundgarden

Is the giant straw hat in Mary Geoise related to the iron giant in Egghead?

Apr 2, 11:12 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

60.35%chance

7305

OptionVotes

YES

311

219

Will Trump build an American Iron Dome?

Jul 19, 3:55 AMJan 20, 3:59 AM

30.91%chance

11271

OptionVotes

YES

149

Will Robert Downey Jr. appear as Iron Man again in the MCU?

Nov 5, 6:31 PMNov 12, 10:59 PM

89.71%chance

9258

OptionVotes

YES

207

Will “flash iron making” replicate by 2027?

Dec 17, 9:01 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

38.46%chance

3110

OptionVotes

YES

126

When will Primitive Technology on Youtube create his next useful iron item?

Apr 4, 2:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

492

Will "Ironing Out the Squiggles" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Apr 30, 11:37 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

13.99%chance

483

OptionVotes

YES

142

126

Non-celebrity Vintage Boss Katana amplifier sells for more than price of 20 metric tons of iron ore or scrap by 2050

Dec 21, 12:12 AMDec 28, 2:59 PM

51.5%chance

440

OptionVotes

YES

116

102

Will the FDA approve skin patches for iron deficiency anemia by EOY 2026?

Dec 1, 6:39 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

44.74%chance

428

OptionVotes

YES

122

Iron News

Prediction markets for Iron

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Will Israel deploy Iron Beam defense in 2025?

IRON MEN: Which 6 of these 12 politicians will keep power longer? The first six "out" go to 0%, remaining six go to 100%

Will we able to buy a robot in 2035 in Italy for less than 50k € that can do the following:

💿Who will be inducted into the Rock & Roll Hall of Fame in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]

Is the giant straw hat in Mary Geoise related to the iron giant in Egghead?

Will Trump build an American Iron Dome?

Will Robert Downey Jr. appear as Iron Man again in the MCU?

Will “flash iron making” replicate by 2027?

When will Primitive Technology on Youtube create his next useful iron item?

Will "Ironing Out the Squiggles" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Non-celebrity Vintage Boss Katana amplifier sells for more than price of 20 metric tons of iron ore or scrap by 2050

Will the FDA approve skin patches for iron deficiency anemia by EOY 2026?

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