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Prediction markets for Iron

Will global iron + steel slag output exceed 600 million tonnes in 2030?

Nov 26, 5:09 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65.01%chance

1317381

OptionVotes

NO

YES

13630

7337

Global iron + steel slag output exceeds 595M tonnes by end-2026?

Nov 26, 5:13 AMApr 28, 10:59 PM

65.06%chance

5367

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1364

733

Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 1.2 GWh by Dec 2026?

Feb 10, 9:31 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

31.38%chance

5331

OptionVotes

YES

NO

148

68

Will Robert Downey Jr. appear as Iron Man again in the MCU?

Nov 5, 6:31 PMNov 12, 10:59 PM

89.71%chance

9258

OptionVotes

NO

YES

207

25

Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 11.0 GWh by Sep 2028?

Feb 10, 9:36 PMSep 30, 4:00 AM

67.64%chance

3232

OptionVotes

NO

YES

145

69

World blast-furnace iron slag output ≥355M tonnes by end-2026?

Nov 26, 5:15 AMJan 31, 11:59 PM

58.92%chance

4200

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1198

835

Global iron + steel slag intensity ≥ 0.31 tonnes per tonne of crude steel in 2026?

Nov 26, 5:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.1%chance

3190

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1108

903

Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 1.8 GWh by Mar 2027?

Feb 10, 9:32 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

36.12%chance

3144

OptionVotes

YES

NO

133

75

Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 29.0 GWh by Dec 2030?

Feb 10, 9:45 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

56.18%chance

3137

OptionVotes

NO

YES

113

88

Will “flash iron making” replicate by 2027?

Dec 17, 9:01 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

38.46%chance

3110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

126

79

Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 17.0 GWh by Jun 2029?

Feb 10, 9:39 PMJun 30, 4:00 AM

78.66%chance

292

OptionVotes

NO

YES

192

52

Non-celebrity Vintage Boss Katana amplifier sells for more than price of 20 metric tons of iron ore or scrap by 2050

Dec 21, 12:12 AMDec 28, 2:59 PM

51.5%chance

440

OptionVotes

YES

NO

116

102

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