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Prediction markets for ISA

@IsaacKing stock [permanent]

Jan 13, 1:11 AMAug 11, 9:43 PM

5713058

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1641

1296

Can @IsaacKing be trusted to buy and sell trading cards?

Oct 30, 11:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

94.47%chance

102221

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1181

927

By when will Jared Isaacman fly to Mars?

Jun 1, 5:45 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

71972

OptionProbability

2050

2040

2033

45

29

12

Will ISAs (income share agreements) overtake "traditional" student loans by 2030?

Aug 24, 4:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.53%chance

14723

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1560

928

Isaac King vs. @Jim - $1000 USD on whether AI will beat Minecraft in under 10 minutes

Aug 29, 3:12 AMJan 2, 3:28 AM

11706

OptionProbability

Isaac wins the bet, Jim pays up

Jim wins the bet, Isaac pays up

Isaac wins the bet, Jim does not pay up

Jim wins the bet, Isaac does not pay up

49

48

2

1

Will Isaak Freeman play an in cameo role as a Freman in Dune 3?

Mar 9, 10:41 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

2.17%chance

3655

OptionVotes

YES

NO

775

32

Will Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu get a pardon from President Isaac Herzog?

Nov 30, 11:59 AMDec 31, 11:57 AM

19.43%chance

18488

OptionVotes

YES

NO

204

49

If we survive artificial general intelligence, will Isaac King's market resolve to "none of the above" or similar?

Mar 23, 5:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.76%chance

9438

OptionVotes

YES

NO

637

143

Will any TOP500 computer use CPUs or accelerators built off of the RISC-V ISA in 2028?

May 6, 12:52 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

73%chance

7190

OptionVotes

NO

YES

147

46

Will the Eritrean government collapse before or within 5 years of Isaias Afwerki's death?

May 26, 3:54 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

57.22%chance

3160

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1156

865

Will Jose Luis Ricon and Zoe Isabel Senon (techn0elf) end up dating by EOY 2029?

Feb 6, 4:47 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20.03%chance

4120

OptionVotes

YES

NO

200

70

Will Jose Luis Ricon (JLR!!) OR Isaak Freeman get a mathematical theorem named after him by EOY2050?

Oct 21, 4:23 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

35.43%chance

235

OptionVotes

YES

NO

135

74

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