OptionVotes
NO
YES
1000
21060
8177
3275
305
3087
324
1458
686
OptionProbability
No
Yes
96
4
>3 months
>6 months
>1 year
>2 years
>5 years
77
56
45
35
20
No one (regime change, system change) = no Supreme Leader
Hashem Hosseini Bushehri
Mojtaba Khamenei
Other
Ongoing “interim” arrangement / power-sharing structure.
Power struggle between 1 or more that sees rival Supreme Leaders both with actually realistic claims (based on authority/endorsements by senior clerics and religious figures etc).
Alireza Arafi
38
16
10
9
8