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Prediction markets for Island

Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2026?

Dec 10, 3:41 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

4.9%chance

13925601

OptionVotes

YES

NO

25089

9790

Will China invade the main island of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?

Nov 8, 8:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

24.53%chance

6116057

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1765

574

Will China invade the Kinmen Islands of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?

Nov 8, 8:56 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

27.49%chance

5212366

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3035

1410

Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2028?

Dec 10, 3:42 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

33.27%chance

352998

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1004

986

Would US Destroy Taiwan’s Semiconductor Industries in the Event of Imminent PRC Control of the Island?

Mar 22, 1:50 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

39.1%chance

251344

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1043

905

Will the .io ccTLD be substantially affected by the cession of the Chagos Islands to Mauritius?

Oct 11, 2:43 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

30.12%chance

11954

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1523

657

Will unit 1 of the Three Mile Island nuclear power plant restart before 2029?

Sep 20, 1:31 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

72.49%chance

12884

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1623

616

Does the island of stability exist?

Oct 21, 12:51 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

83.37%chance

29819

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1424

879

Will the South Island kōkako be rediscovered by 2040?

Jan 3, 8:40 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM

30.49%chance

2510

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1510

662

Will Volcanic Island cross $1000 before 2030?

Dec 18, 2:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.58%chance

3436

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1406

711

Will the new Washington Bridge in Rhode Island be completed on time?

Feb 1, 6:02 PMDec 2, 11:59 PM

38.89%chance

5327

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1253

798

South Korea: Will Gadeok Island New Airport open before 2030?

Apr 23, 1:02 PMJan 1, 2:59 PM

28.14%chance

6249

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1219

888

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