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Prediction markets for Isomorphic

Can quantum computer check isomorphism of graphs in the described way?

Sep 12, 5:09 PMDec 31, 6:59 PM

3%chance

103588

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1247

951

Is Graph Isomorphism NP-Complete?

Nov 18, 6:51 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

7.11%chance

231255

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1659

886

Which of the following breakthroughs will Deepmind achieve by 2030?

Mar 1, 10:50 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

271156

OptionProbability

Find a room temperature superconductor, highly efficient photovoltaic cells, or an ultra-strong lightweight material

Find a cure for cancer, Alzheimer's or Diabetis

29

23

Hassabis's Isomorphic Labs will get a drug to FDA stage 3 or better by mid 2031

Jan 23, 6:16 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

44%chance

9898

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1128

886

Is Manifold better-calibrated than financial markets on questions about future asset prices?

Mar 10, 11:24 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

6.36%chance

12812

OptionVotes

YES

NO

700

170

Is Graph Isomorphism in P?

Nov 18, 6:50 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

50.64%chance

19719

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1184

729

What is the complexity theoretic status of P vs NP, ETH, and Graph Isomorphism?

Dec 8, 9:26 PMDec 16, 5:59 AM

4610

OptionProbability

ETH true, GI in P

ETH true, GI NP-intermediate

P != NP, ETH false, GI NP-intermediate

P != NP, ETH false, GI in P

P = NP

P != NP, ETH false, GI NP-complete

58

18

9

8

5

2

Demis Hassabis still at Google end of 2027?

Aug 8, 1:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46.72%chance

10559

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1068

936

Is Graph Isomorphism NP-intermediate?

Feb 14, 1:01 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

44%chance

10348

OptionVotes

YES

NO

213

161

Will Diablo V have a non-isomorphic camera?

Mar 21, 7:24 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

8.5%chance

3154

OptionVotes

YES

NO

239

50

Is the Generalized Poincaré Conjecture true for 4-dimensional smooth manifolds?

Jul 28, 6:06 PMJan 1, 7:06 PM

52.71%chance

226

OptionVotes

NO

YES

106

95

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