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Prediction markets for Isomorphic

Can quantum computer check isomorphism of graphs in the described way?

Sep 12, 5:09 PMDec 31, 6:59 PM

3%chance

103588

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1247

951

What is the complexity theoretic status of P vs NP, ETH, and Graph Isomorphism?

Dec 8, 9:26 PMDec 16, 5:59 AM

143486

OptionProbability

P != NP, ETH false, GI in P

P != NP, ETH false, GI NP-intermediate

ETH true, GI NP-intermediate

ETH true, GI in P

P = NP

P != NP, ETH false, GI NP-complete

37

35

10

9

5

4

Demis Hassabis still at Google end of 2027?

Aug 8, 1:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.04%chance

201530

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2066

1937

Is Graph Isomorphism NP-Complete?

Nov 18, 6:51 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

7.1%chance

241256

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1660

886

Which of the following breakthroughs will Deepmind achieve by 2030?

Mar 1, 10:50 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

291192

OptionProbability

Find a room temperature superconductor, highly efficient photovoltaic cells, or an ultra-strong lightweight material

Find a cure for cancer, Alzheimer's or Diabetis

29

20

Hassabis's Isomorphic Labs will get a drug to FDA stage 3 or better by mid 2031

Jan 23, 6:16 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

44%chance

9898

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1128

886

By when will Demis Hassabis leave Google?

Aug 9, 2:00 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8833

OptionProbability

None of these options

EOY 2028

EOY 2027

EOY 2026

51

50

40

10

Is Graph Isomorphism in P?

Nov 18, 6:50 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

53.28%chance

21779

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1138

779

Is Graph Isomorphism NP-intermediate?

Feb 14, 1:01 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

44%chance

10348

OptionVotes

YES

NO

213

161

Will Demis Hassabis still be at Google at the end of 2026?

Sep 1, 3:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

95.53%chance

9183

OptionVotes

NO

YES

169

1

Will Diablo V have a non-isomorphic camera?

Mar 21, 7:24 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

8.5%chance

3154

OptionVotes

YES

NO

239

50

Demis Hassabis still at Google end of 2027?

Aug 10, 10:21 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.19%chance

11

OptionVotes

NO

YES

101

99

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