Isomorphic News

Can quantum computer check isomorphism of graphs in the described way?

Sep 12, 5:09 PMDec 31, 6:59 PM

3%chance

103588

OptionVotes

YES

1247

951

Is Graph Isomorphism NP-Complete?

Nov 18, 6:51 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

7.11%chance

231255

OptionVotes

YES

1659

886

Which of the following breakthroughs will Deepmind achieve by 2030?

Mar 1, 10:50 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

271156

OptionProbability

Find a room temperature superconductor, highly efficient photovoltaic cells, or an ultra-strong lightweight material

Find a cure for cancer, Alzheimer's or Diabetis

Is Manifold better-calibrated than financial markets on questions about future asset prices?

Mar 10, 11:24 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

6.36%chance

12812

OptionVotes

YES

700

170

Is Graph Isomorphism in P?

Nov 18, 6:50 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

50.64%chance

19719

OptionVotes

YES

1184

729

What is the complexity theoretic status of P vs NP, ETH, and Graph Isomorphism?

Dec 8, 9:26 PMDec 16, 5:59 AM

4610

OptionProbability

ETH true, GI in P

ETH true, GI NP-intermediate

P != NP, ETH false, GI NP-intermediate

P != NP, ETH false, GI in P

P = NP

P != NP, ETH false, GI NP-complete

Is Graph Isomorphism NP-intermediate?

Feb 14, 1:01 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

44%chance

10348

OptionVotes

YES

213

161

Hassabis's Isomorphic Labs will get a drug to FDA stage 3 or better by mid 2031

Jan 23, 6:16 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

54%chance

3180

OptionVotes

YES

1083

923

Will Diablo V have a non-isomorphic camera?

Mar 21, 7:24 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

8.5%chance

3154

OptionVotes

YES

239

Which paper will win the Gödel prize in 2026

Jul 21, 7:03 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

160

OptionProbability

Other

Simulating Time With Square-Root Space

MIP* = RE

The Complexity of Gradient Descent: CLS = PPAD ∩ PLS

Graph Isomorphism in Quasipolynomial Time

A Dichotomy Theorem for Nonuniform CSPs

Superpolynomial Lower Bounds Against Low-Depth Algebraic Circuits

An Average-Case Depth Hierarchy Theorem for Boolean Circuits

Learning Algorithms from Natural Proofs

Deciding Parity Games in Quasi-polynomial Time

A Proof of the CSP Dichotomy Conjecture

Induced subgraphs of hypercubes and a proof of the Sensitivity Conjecture

Is the Generalized Poincaré Conjecture true for 4-dimensional smooth manifolds?

Jul 28, 6:06 PMJan 1, 7:06 PM

52.71%chance

226

OptionVotes

YES

106

Isomorphic News

Prediction markets for Isomorphic

Prediction markets for Isomorphic

Prediction markets for Isomorphic

Can quantum computer check isomorphism of graphs in the described way?

Is Graph Isomorphism NP-Complete?

Which of the following breakthroughs will Deepmind achieve by 2030?

Is Manifold better-calibrated than financial markets on questions about future asset prices?

Is Graph Isomorphism in P?

What is the complexity theoretic status of P vs NP, ETH, and Graph Isomorphism?

Is Graph Isomorphism NP-intermediate?

Hassabis's Isomorphic Labs will get a drug to FDA stage 3 or better by mid 2031

Will Diablo V have a non-isomorphic camera?

Which paper will win the Gödel prize in 2026

Is the Generalized Poincaré Conjecture true for 4-dimensional smooth manifolds?

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