OptionVotes
YES
NO
1035
963
OptionProbability
Unyielding Islamic Regime
Deal with minimal concessions
Deal with major concessions
Balkanization/long civil war
Military coup (Artesh)
Popular takeover
Venezuela-style puppet state
Voluntary transition of power
41
30
12
6
5
4
2
1
354
28
300
33
1051
819
100
