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Top stories

Israeli National Security Minister Ben-Gvir Orders Gaza Destruction Photos in Prisons Amid Blockade Shortages

Authors

5

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Israeli National

Will the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027?

Feb 28, 4:48 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

41.43%chance

5513817

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1189

841

🇮🇱 🇵🇸 What is the most likely future of Israel/Palestine: a one-state or two-state solution?

Nov 13, 7:01 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

785275

OptionProbability

🇮🇱 One-state solution, under the name Israel

🇮🇱 🇵🇸 Two-state solution

🤯 Any other solution that won't use the name Israel and/or Palestine

🇵🇸 One-state solution, under the name Palestine

60

35

3

1

Will Israel return Lebanon/Hezbollah to the stone age before 2028?

Dec 27, 7:27 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

6.65%chance

264903

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2665

765

Will Balaji's Network School announce a shutdown or relocation away from Malaysia before the end of 2028?

Jul 16, 8:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

96.1%chance

44220

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4962

202

Will the US or Israel use nuclear weapons against Iran before 2029?

Jun 25, 8:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.77%chance

282312

OptionVotes

YES

NO

323

31

Israel and Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations before Israel's elections?

Apr 9, 7:36 AMOct 26, 11:59 PM

8.56%chance

201416

OptionVotes

YES

NO

327

31

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.59%chance

12744

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1031

884

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

Mar 11, 11:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.71%chance

16558

OptionVotes

YES

NO

373

27

Will Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu get a pardon from President Isaac Herzog?

Nov 30, 11:59 AMDec 31, 11:57 AM

19.43%chance

18488

OptionVotes

YES

NO

204

49

Which country will the US strike next?

Feb 28, 3:13 PMDec 31, 3:01 PM

15428

OptionProbability

Cuba

Yemen

Venezuela

Syria

Iraq

Lebanon

Somalia

China

North Korea

Pakistan

Russia

None by 2030

Other

22

17

11

8

7

7

7

5

4

4

4

3

3

Will the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027?

Aug 1, 4:23 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

39.79%chance

3105

OptionVotes

YES

NO

117

87

Will More, Less, or the Same amount of nation boycott ESC 2027 because of Israeli participation?

May 16, 11:18 PMMay 14, 11:59 PM

215

OptionProbability

Less, some will return

More

The same, 5

63

57

50

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