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Top stories

Israeli National Security Minister Ben-Gvir Orders Gaza Destruction Photos in Prisons Amid Blockade Shortages

Authors

5

4 months ago

Prediction markets for Israeli National

Will Indonesia open embassy in Israel before the end of 2025

Apr 11, 4:51 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

4.82%chance

246692

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4638

420

🇮🇱 🇵🇸 What is the most likely future of Israel/Palestine: a one-state or two-state solution?

Nov 13, 7:01 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

775225

OptionProbability

🇮🇱 One-state solution, under the name Israel

🇮🇱 🇵🇸 Two-state solution

🤯 Any other solution that won't use the name Israel and/or Palestine

🇵🇸 One-state solution, under the name Palestine

60

35

4

1

Will Israel return Lebanon/Hezbollah to the stone age before 2028?

Dec 27, 7:27 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

9.51%chance

253598

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1951

826

Will Iran blockade the Strait of Hormuz before Israel's invasion of the Gaza Strip ends?

Nov 9, 8:45 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

19.44%chance

402971

OptionVotes

YES

NO

131

42

What countries would join Abraham Accords in 2025

Oct 13, 8:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

192324

OptionProbability

None

Kazakhstan

Azerbaijan

Saudi Arabia

Indonesia

Armenia

Syria

Lebanon

Qatar

78

20

18

6

6

5

3

2

2

Will the US or Israel use nuclear weapons against Iran before 2029?

Jun 25, 8:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.01%chance

161467

OptionVotes

YES

NO

396

25

Israel deploys nuclear weapons in 2025?

Jun 13, 8:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1.21%chance

121266

OptionVotes

YES

NO

905

11

Israel strikes Iran before 2026?

Jul 9, 7:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.69%chance

18587

OptionVotes

YES

NO

262

38

Israel and Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations before Israel's elections?

Apr 9, 7:36 AMOct 26, 11:59 PM

17.62%chance

12429

OptionVotes

YES

NO

216

46

Turkish troops stationed in Gaza by end of 2025?

Oct 9, 2:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.14%chance

13347

OptionVotes

YES

NO

361

28

Will Israel establish a concentration camp in Rafah, Gaza by February 2026?

Aug 19, 8:22 AMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

55.54%chance

11336

OptionVotes

NO

YES

112

89

Will Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu get a pardon from President Isaac Herzog?

Nov 30, 11:59 AMDec 31, 11:57 AM

38.9%chance

9182

OptionVotes

YES

NO

125

80

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