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Top stories

Israeli Chief of Staff Announces Gradual, Precise Second Phase of Operation Gideon's Chariots Using Full Military Force in Gaza City; Lebanese Palestinian Camps Disarmament Underway

Israeli Chief of Staff Announces Gradual, Precise Second Phase of Operation Gideon's Chariots Using Full Military Force in Gaza City; Lebanese Palestinian Camps Disarmament Underway

Authors

13

1 year ago

Israel Sends Influencers as Hospital Strike Kills Gaza Journalists Amid Media Ban

Israel Sends Influencers as Hospital Strike Kills Gaza Journalists Amid Media Ban

Authors

13

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Israeli

Will the Israeli Hamas conflict be described as a genocide in 10 years(2034)

Jan 15, 2:14 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

62%chance

8742716

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1459

520

Will there be Israeli settlements in Gaza on Dec 31st, 2035?

May 30, 3:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

57.25%chance

3823664

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1157

864

Assembly of Experts hit by US or Israeli attack in 2026 and at least one cleric dies

Mar 2, 4:43 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

6.72%chance

2710998

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3725

268

Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain the leader of the Likud party for the next Israeli legislative elections? 🗳️

Nov 18, 4:34 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

97.37%chance

359674

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6616

252

Will Israeli LGBT rights be discernibly eroded by 2026?

Dec 29, 7:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.01%chance

345546

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3544

557

Will the Likud win the next Israeli election

Nov 2, 4:20 PMNov 10, 4:59 AM

25%chance

383702

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1070

947

Will the current Israel-Hamas conflict last ten years, as some senior Israeli officials warned during Biden's trip?

Oct 20, 3:51 PMOct 21, 6:59 AM

13.95%chance

24890

OptionVotes

NO

YES

982

967

Will an Arab party be in the next Israeli coalition?

Apr 24, 7:38 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

24.5%chance

8617

OptionVotes

YES

NO

246

80

Will the Israeli government significantly undermine the next election?

Jul 27, 1:24 PMOct 1, 8:59 PM

8.34%chance

10576

OptionVotes

YES

NO

584

89

Likud seats after October 2026 Israeli elections

Jul 23, 11:55 PMOct 31, 11:59 PM

5546

OptionProbability

Fewer than 50 seats

Over 55 seats

50 to 55 seats

90

5

5

Will the Israeli metro project contain any elevated sections?

Aug 6, 12:45 PMAug 6, 8:59 PM

49.82%chance

335

OptionVotes

YES

NO

98

79

What led to lasting peace in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict?

Jul 12, 1:37 PMJan 12, 10:59 PM

418

OptionProbability

Other

The Arab Peace Initiative

The coming of Messiah

81

18

1

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