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Sensex Drops 693.86 Points, Nifty Falls 213.65 Points After Six-Day Rally Amid ₹11,801.70 Crore FII Selling

6 months ago

India

Economics

Business

India Clears Rs 9,814 Crore Airport and Ring Road Projects

6 months ago

Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?

Oct 26, 3:24 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

26%chance

750336350

OptionVotes

YES

6472

3426

Will any spaceship exceed 10% of the speed of light relative to its planet of origin before 9999?

Jul 13, 5:38 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

82.75%chance

85132278

OptionVotes

YES

2814

887

EOY 2030, how difficult will it be to get gender affirming care (puberty blockers, HRT) for a minor in California?

Jan 22, 7:13 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

4372539

OptionProbability

About the same as in 2024

Notably more difficult than in 2024

Notably easier than in 2024

Virtually impossible

Will the first person to walk on Mars make it back to Earth?

Mar 26, 4:52 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

70.76%chance

17325218

OptionVotes

YES

11898

9090

Will the US government take control of OpenAI or its major technologies before 2030?

Nov 23, 11:29 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

21.32%chance

8821179

OptionVotes

YES

13505

8680

OpenAI will be nationalized or have the Defense Production Act applied to it by mid 2030

Jun 5, 3:33 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

27.06%chance

6120269

OptionVotes

YES

16061

6360

Will SCOTUS strike down the preemptive pardons if it considers the case?

Jan 20, 2:01 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

20%chance

3814920

OptionVotes

YES

18124

6187

Will Waymo One expand its SF Bay Area service area to Marin County by December 31, 2026?

Jan 3, 9:53 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

66.08%chance

637720

OptionVotes

YES

13928

7195

If I buy physical indium for investment, will I regret it in 5 years from now?

May 24, 1:59 AMMay 5, 3:59 AM

63.04%chance

796801

OptionVotes

YES

14151

8635

Will the US refuse entry to nonimmigrant travellers at at least three times the rate in 2025 than it did in 2024?

Apr 14, 6:21 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.42%chance

226797

OptionVotes

YES

15488

6457

If AI wipes out humanity, what will it make of the universe?

Jul 2, 11:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

71040

OptionProbability

Other "loud" outcome

non-hedonic utilitronium

Orgasmium

Matrioshka brains to simulate zillions of ems

initiate vacuum collapse

It will be "quiet" and not significantly alter the rest of the universe.

Paperclips or widgets

Matrioshka brains to simulate torture of everyone who didn't help create it

Literal rats on literal heroin

Wait till carbon white dwarfs cool enough to turn to diamond and then cut them into cool shapes

Will it be possible to create a human embryo through an API by 2050?

Jun 14, 1:40 AMDec 1, 5:59 AM

35.35%chance

7876

OptionVotes

YES

10313

9761

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Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?

Will any spaceship exceed 10% of the speed of light relative to its planet of origin before 9999?

EOY 2030, how difficult will it be to get gender affirming care (puberty blockers, HRT) for a minor in California?

Will the first person to walk on Mars make it back to Earth?

Will the US government take control of OpenAI or its major technologies before 2030?

OpenAI will be nationalized or have the Defense Production Act applied to it by mid 2030

Will SCOTUS strike down the preemptive pardons if it considers the case?

Will Waymo One expand its SF Bay Area service area to Marin County by December 31, 2026?

If I buy physical indium for investment, will I regret it in 5 years from now?

Will the US refuse entry to nonimmigrant travellers at at least three times the rate in 2025 than it did in 2024?

If AI wipes out humanity, what will it make of the universe?

Will it be possible to create a human embryo through an API by 2050?

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