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Prediction markets for Ito

Will "Mythos-class" model be called Mythos?

Apr 11, 11:35 PMDec 31, 2:59 PM

10%chance

4330937

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2573

667

Gemini 3.5 Pro when???

Aug 17, 10:59 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71537

OptionProbability

January 2027 or later or never

October 2026

August 2026

September 2026

November 2026

December 2026

98

1

0

0

0

0

Does Elon Musk claim Grok 5 is an AGI?

Jan 19, 3:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.74%chance

14573

OptionVotes

YES

NO

251

40

Will METR add any data point on the graph before this year?

Sep 9, 3:53 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.33%chance

395

OptionVotes

YES

NO

138

72

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