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Prediction markets for Ivy League

Will legacy admissions be abolished at any Ivy League college before 2030?

Jul 2, 4:38 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

46.72%chance

10614377

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1487

876

What will be true of the elected US president in 2028? (ADD ANSWERS)

Nov 12, 4:35 AMDec 19, 7:59 AM

201787

OptionProbability

Christian

Male

White

Previously insulted by Donald Trump

Both parents born in the US

Publicly admitted to being a gun owner

Attended an Ivy League

Has black or brown hair

Taller than 6 feet

Former lawyer

Republican

60+

Has been divorced

Has committed a felony

Former or current US senator

Has run for president before

Speaks another language fluently

Wears glasses

94

83

82

66

62

62

61

58

50

50

46

40

35

34

31

28

24

18

Will Black Students Be Less Than 10% of the Ivy League Class of 2028?

Dec 2, 8:33 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

25.85%chance

17575

OptionVotes

YES

NO

141

62

Will Columbia University be a going concern on January 20th, 2029?

Apr 13, 2:17 AMJan 20, 11:59 PM

92.16%chance

9491

OptionVotes

NO

YES

343

29

MIT below first in QS Physics & Astronomy rankings before 2028?

Apr 16, 12:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59.01%chance

10398

OptionVotes

NO

YES

120

83

Will I get accepted by these colleges if i apply?

Oct 14, 10:00 PMDec 1, 11:59 PM

11388

OptionProbability

Any Ivy League (RD)

UChicago (EDI)

UChicago (EDII)

MIT (EA or RD)

64

28

28

24

Total applications to Ivy League schools decrease by at least 20% for Class of 2032 compared to Class of 2028

Jan 9, 3:16 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

37.31%chance

7367

OptionVotes

YES

NO

130

77

What will be true about the next person confirmed to the US Supreme Court [Mega Market]?

Mar 28, 1:37 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10274

OptionProbability

Went to an Ivy League school

Once confirmed, will be the 9th member of the court

Replacing a live, retired Justice

Older than 50

Nominated by a Republican President

Male

White

Has children

Nominated by Joe Biden

85

81

78

56

52

50

50

50

8

Did you go to an Ivy League university?

Apr 28, 10:26 PM

260

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