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Top stories

Keurig Dr Pepper Buys JDE Peet’s for $18 Billion, Plans Break-Up

Keurig Dr Pepper Buys JDE Peet’s for $18 Billion, Plans Break-Up

Authors

80

5 months ago

Prediction markets for Jacobs

Will Jacob Pfau think that the Eliciting Latent Knowledge research program has achieved something important by October 20, 2026?

Oct 20, 7:33 PMOct 21, 3:59 AM

31.23%chance

142358

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1627

398

Will Jacob Jakob Ingebrigtsen break the 1500m world record by 2036

Jun 20, 12:29 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

50.04%chance

9813

OptionVotes

YES

NO

128

70

Will James Koppel, Barton Rhodes, yoyo,Amit Deshwar, Rochelle shen, Geffen avraham, sigfig, Jacob Cole LAN party b4 2030

Sep 21, 4:41 PMSep 29, 3:59 AM

10%chance

1200

OptionVotes

YES

NO

300

33

Will Jacob Zuma Live to See 2029?

Aug 4, 3:42 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

267

OptionProbability

Yes, he'll live to see 2029.

No, he'll die in 2027.

No, he'll die in 2026.

No, he'll die in 2025.

No, he'll die in 2024.

Other

No, he'll die in 2028.

73

5

5

5

5

5

3

Will Jose Luis Ricon or Jacob Rintamaki come to OpenSauce 2026?

Jul 22, 5:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.66%chance

233

OptionVotes

YES

NO

109

92

Age of Mythology: Finland expansion by EOY2032? [cf jacob rintamaki]

Nov 6, 10:19 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

39.02%chance

125

OptionVotes

YES

NO

125

80

Will Jacob Rintamaki become a Thiel Fellow?

Jul 27, 5:36 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

54.75%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

91

Will Yoyo Yuan, Barton Rhodes, @viemccoy, @adic_9, Jose Ricon, and Jacob Cole all go SAILING together?

Aug 26, 1:15 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

Will Jacob Steinhardt play Starcraft 2 and place as Gold League or higher by 2030?

Apr 29, 2:55 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

40.98%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

80

62

If jacob cole were a character in LEGO RACERS, would he be BASIL THE BAT LORD?

Aug 1, 2:53 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

51.84%chance

26

OptionVotes

NO

YES

104

96

If Jacob Steinhardt 1v1'd Paul Christiano in Starcraft 2, would he win?

Feb 11, 5:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45%chance

05

OptionVotes

YES

NO

55

45

Is the Cheegar constant for Kenneth Shinozuka's social network lower than that of Jacob Cole's social network?

Jul 24, 3:15 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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