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Prediction markets for Jail

Will Pavel Durov (Telegram’s CEO) go to jail?

Aug 24, 10:15 PMAug 25, 8:59 PM

9.96%chance

10155036

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4467

612

Will Elon Musk spend a night in prison / jail by EOY 2026?

Oct 9, 2:03 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

3.17%chance

4314028

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5523

181

Will Donald Trump live to see Hunter Biden spend a day in jail?

Jun 13, 1:17 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

6%chance

326072

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5022

1249

Will Donald Trump ever see the inside of a JAIL Cell? (Not a prison cell)

Aug 15, 11:15 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

11.71%chance

315781

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2665

416

Will Elon Musk ever go to jail after being convicted of a crime?

Sep 22, 11:31 AMSep 29, 9:59 PM

6.83%chance

303029

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2798

737

Will Elon Musk be in jail, dead, disappeared or on the run by 1st Jan 2030

Sep 3, 10:00 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

15.03%chance

272728

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1093

961

Will SBF be in jail on Jan 1st 2029

Feb 13, 6:15 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

82.97%chance

171491

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1020

779

Will NXIVM cult leader Keith Raniere ever get out of jail before he dies?

Sep 5, 8:03 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

1.7%chance

41175

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1463

220

If elected, will President Trump succeed in jailing his opponents?

Oct 27, 7:48 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

38.35%chance

21889

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1268

789

Will Elizabeth Holmes be in jail on Jan 1 2027?

Apr 7, 9:36 PMJan 2, 3:00 AM

67.42%chance

19876

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1101

895

By 2030, will any Democratic administration succeed in jailing their opponents?

Nov 8, 12:49 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

39.5%chance

3458

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1238

808

Contingent on Trump winning the election, will any of the DAs or judges currently trying him go to jail?

Feb 23, 1:11 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

17.99%chance

10222

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1110

957

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