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Prediction markets for Jail

Will Pavel Durov (Telegram’s CEO) go to jail?

Aug 24, 10:15 PMAug 25, 8:59 PM

21.21%chance

9752678

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2731

911

Will Nick Rekieta spend 30 or more days in jail before the end of 2025?

May 25, 2:38 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

13.61%chance

229332

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2519

397

Will Elon Musk spend a night in prison / jail by EOY 2026?

Oct 9, 2:03 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

6%chance

388868

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3958

253

Will Donald Trump live to see Hunter Biden spend a day in jail?

Jun 13, 1:17 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7.44%chance

315231

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4180

1309

Will Donald Trump ever see the inside of a JAIL Cell? (Not a prison cell)

Aug 15, 11:15 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

12.97%chance

304439

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2503

439

Will Elon Musk ever go to jail after being convicted of a crime?

Sep 22, 11:31 AMSep 29, 9:59 PM

9.68%chance

292276

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2080

801

Will Elon Musk be in jail, dead, disappeared or on the run by 1st Jan 2030

Sep 3, 10:00 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

29.07%chance

262178

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1106

543

If Trump is sentenced to jail time will the Secret Service go with him?

Aug 19, 12:44 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

72.35%chance

28923

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1689

1092

If elected, will President Trump succeed in jailing his opponents?

Oct 27, 7:48 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

38.35%chance

21889

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1268

789

Will Elizabeth Holmes be in jail on Jan 1 2027?

Apr 7, 9:36 PMJan 2, 3:00 AM

64%chance

17676

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1001

947

By 2030, will any Democratic administration succeed in jailing their opponents?

Nov 8, 12:49 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

39.5%chance

3458

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1238

808

Contingent on Trump winning the election, will any of the DAs or judges currently trying him go to jail?

Feb 23, 1:11 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

17.99%chance

10222

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1110

957

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