Jan News
Prediction markets for Jan
Will SpaceX's Starship Superheavy launch vehicle reach 500 total successful launches by Jan 1st 2030?
Apr 25, 3:04 AMDec 31, 2:00 PM
6.5%chance
127235217
OptionVotes
3804
910
Will Trump pardon Luigi Mangione prior to Jan 20, 2029?
Jan 26, 3:07 AMFeb 22, 7:59 AM
1.09%chance
58154920
OptionVotes
117790
4179
🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027
Sep 24, 9:28 AMOct 3, 2:59 PM
41.15%chance
101120616
OptionVotes
59424
42630
OptionVotes
1145
841
Will Vanguard bring a Bitcoin ETF to market before Jan 1 2030?
Jan 11, 6:45 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM
32.79%chance
10433498
OptionVotes
1594
1007
OptionVotes
9950
101
Will the war in Ukraine still be ongoing on Jan 1 2030?
May 14, 1:21 AMJan 1, 6:00 AM
18.75%chance
10014511
OptionVotes
1642
1121
Will Elon Musk be worth more than $2 Trillion before Jan 1st, 2030?
Feb 4, 12:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
55.05%chance
336531
OptionVotes
1107
904
Will the next U.S. President (elected in Nov. 2024 & inaugurated in Jan. 2025) serve their full 4-year term?
Feb 2, 3:07 AMJan 21, 4:59 AM
77.23%chance
725806
OptionVotes
1888
1065
Will NVIDIA FY2028 (Feb 2027 – Jan 2028) revenue exceed $400B?
Mar 17, 12:34 AMJan 31, 11:59 PM
84.37%chance
91707
OptionVotes
2323
430
"Donald Trump US president at any point between Jan 21, 2029, and Jan 20, 2033?"
Apr 1, 4:08 AMJan 20, 11:59 PM
17.17%chance
151215
OptionVotes
3494
2367
OptionProbability
62
10
9
9
9