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Top stories

US Ends $800 Duty Exemption, Global Postal Services Suspend Deliveries

US Domestic Policy

US Ends $800 Duty Exemption, Global Postal Services Suspend Deliveries

Authors

86

8 months ago

Prediction markets for Japan Post

When will human literary translators become unnecessary?

Dec 11, 9:50 PMDec 31, 11:00 PM

12.84%chance

211146

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1153

1050

Will it ever be confirmed India has a greater >125 IQ population than Japan?

May 9, 2:28 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

8.04%chance

7582

OptionVotes

YES

NO

373

93

Will China HS 2805.30 exports for 4 months ending April 2026 exceed 12000 kg?

Mar 30, 10:08 PMJun 30, 4:00 AM

26.47%chance

3250

OptionVotes

YES

NO

167

60

Will I publish more Substack articles in 2026 than in 2025?

Jan 10, 2:57 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54%chance

7236

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1084

923

Will China's total Eu exports for 14 months ending July 2026 exceed 320000 kg?

Mar 30, 8:52 PMSep 30, 4:00 AM

36.17%chance

3171

OptionVotes

YES

NO

133

75

Will China's total Eu exports for 14 months ending April 2026 exceed 320000 kg?

Mar 30, 8:51 PMJun 30, 4:00 AM

36.17%chance

3171

OptionVotes

YES

NO

133

75

Will China's total Eu exports for 14 months ending July 2026 exceed 220000 kg?

Mar 30, 8:52 PMSep 30, 4:00 AM

36.17%chance

3171

OptionVotes

YES

NO

133

75

Will China's total Eu exports for 14 months ending April 2026 exceed 220000 kg?

Mar 30, 8:51 PMJun 30, 4:00 AM

27.26%chance

3155

OptionVotes

YES

NO

163

61

Will China's total Eu exports for 14 months ending July 2026 exceed 25000 kg?

Mar 30, 8:52 PMSep 30, 4:00 AM

70.61%chance

255

OptionVotes

NO

YES

155

65

Will China's total Eu exports for 14 months ending April 2026 exceed 25000 kg?

Mar 30, 8:51 PMJun 30, 4:00 AM

69.23%chance

150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

150

67

Will Brazil trailing 6-month FeNb exports exceed 65 kt as of September 2026?

Mar 30, 9:43 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

Will China HS 2805.30 exports for 4 months ending April 2026 exceed 25000 kg?

Mar 30, 10:08 PMJun 30, 4:00 AM

12.25%chance

15

OptionVotes

NO

YES

105

40

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