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Prediction markets for Japan Times
Will the Bank of Japan have a negative interest rate again before the end of 2026?
Jan 1, 5:26 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
9.31%chance
112214
OptionVotes
3122
320
OptionVotes
1392
718
Will a human walk on Mars before we get a cure for cancer?
Feb 3, 7:29 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM
68.25%chance
241825
OptionVotes
1006
924
OptionVotes
1067
965
OptionVotes
999
710
OptionVotes
1073
932
Will Japan gain de facto control of Shikotan island (one of the Kuril islands) from Russia before 2031?
Jan 5, 11:13 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
19.01%chance
13414
OptionVotes
1016
840
OptionProbability
22
22
22
20
15
Will 10% or more of the top 20 biggest companies today still be in the top 20 in 2050?
Apr 17, 7:54 PMDec 14, 12:00 PM
72%chance
14346
OptionVotes
1091
949
Sanae Takaichi delivers Trophy at any Grand Sumo Tournament in 2026?
Jan 9, 2:58 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
9.97%chance
7303
OptionVotes
301
33
Will I publish more Substack articles in 2026 than in 2025?
Jan 10, 2:57 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
54%chance
7236
OptionVotes
1084
923
Will life expectancy in any prefectures of Japan reach 90 years before end of 2040?
May 30, 12:31 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM
54.5%chance
3105
OptionVotes
1095
914