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Prediction markets for Joint Chiefs
Which people on the Kash Patel list of "Members of the Executive Branch Deep State" from his book will be investigated?
Dec 14, 5:15 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
152884
OptionProbability
100
100
100
82
79
76
68
68
66
66
66
58
57
56
56
51
49
48
47
46
41
41
41
41
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
37
37
36
35
35
34
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
27
27
24
0
Will Donald Trump carry out an invasion of Greenland before 2029?
Feb 27, 6:35 PMJan 4, 11:59 PM
5.11%chance
192719
OptionVotes
431
23
🚺Which of these positions that have never been women will have their first by the end of 2040? [ADD RESPONSES]
Apr 1, 5:22 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
231654
OptionProbability
100
84
76
76
76
74
71
66
66
60
59
48
44
42
35
19
4
2
Will Trump annex/take military action against Brazil by EOY 2028?
Jun 16, 3:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
19.92%chance
121262
OptionVotes
2005
499
Will the US or Israel threaten to use nuclear weapons against Iran before 2029?
Jun 22, 2:04 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM
55.29%chance
22923
OptionVotes
111
90
Will any Smithsonian museum be closed before EOY 2026?
Mar 28, 10:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
77%chance
12605
OptionVotes
183
55
If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the US respond with military force? [Metaculus]
Mar 21, 8:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
65.65%chance
5120
OptionVotes
101
99


