Judiciary News

Impeach the Judge who blocked DOGE from accessing U.S. Treasury records? How far will this go?

Feb 9, 9:46 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

203245

OptionProbability

Initiation and Investigation: A member or committee of the House of Representatives begins impeachment proceedings. The House Judiciary Committee investigates the allegations of misconduct

Charges: If the committee finds sufficient evidence, it acts as a prosecutor and brings charges against the judge.

The U.S. Court of Appeals or the Supreme Court overturns Judge Engelmayer's ruling to block Executive cabinet and staffers from accessing U.S. Treasury records, and no impeachment proceedings are initiated by May 9, 2025.

House Votes YES to Impeach: The entire House of Representatives votes on the impeachment. A simple majority is required to impeach the judge.

Senate Trial and Removal: If impeached, the case is referred to the Senate for a trial. A two-thirds majority vote in the Senate is required to convict and remove the judge from office.

100

Will Bolsonaro lose his political rights without being arrested?

Jan 17, 10:46 PMSep 2, 2:59 AM

19.46%chance

132511

OptionVotes

YES

1523

763

Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?

Jun 3, 9:34 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

41.23%chance

261358

OptionVotes

YES

1194

838

Will a 10th Judge be Appointed to the US Supreme Court by 2026?

Dec 19, 9:35 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

3.12%chance

91059

OptionVotes

YES

814

101

Will the US judiciary remain independent by the end of Trump's term?

Mar 2, 8:39 AMJan 21, 10:59 PM

47.63%chance

151019

OptionVotes

YES

1049

954

Will the Brazilian judiciary introduce some kind of AI jurisdiction before 2030?

Dec 26, 3:45 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

56.18%chance

17752

OptionVotes

YES

320

101

Will the Trump administration go after a SCOTUS justice in 2025?

May 1, 6:09 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

17.43%chance

8408

OptionVotes

YES

818

506

Will AI-generated video be used to get away with a criminal (felony) loss of life before the end of 2025?

Feb 19, 4:41 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

10.67%chance

11235

OptionVotes

YES

1157

958

Will Trump publicly disparage Chief Justice John Roberts during his second term?

Feb 27, 6:44 PMJan 21, 3:59 AM

79.53%chance

8174

OptionVotes

YES

197

Labour Home Secretary publicly defy UK court ruling on deportation before next GE?

Jul 21, 9:57 AMAug 28, 10:59 PM

36.31%chance

6107

OptionVotes

YES

132

Will Israel's process of judicial review be reformed during the current Knesset term?

Aug 7, 1:07 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

14.79%chance

370

OptionVotes

YES

140

Will PCC have infiltrated the Brazilian Judiciary before 2033?

Jun 24, 2:51 AMJan 1, 3:59 AM

67.76%chance

546

OptionVotes

YES

Judiciary News

Prediction markets for Judiciary

Prediction markets for Judiciary

Prediction markets for Judiciary

Impeach the Judge who blocked DOGE from accessing U.S. Treasury records? How far will this go?

Will Bolsonaro lose his political rights without being arrested?

Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?

Will a 10th Judge be Appointed to the US Supreme Court by 2026?

Will the US judiciary remain independent by the end of Trump's term?

Will the Brazilian judiciary introduce some kind of AI jurisdiction before 2030?

Will the Trump administration go after a SCOTUS justice in 2025?

Will AI-generated video be used to get away with a criminal (felony) loss of life before the end of 2025?

Will Trump publicly disparage Chief Justice John Roberts during his second term?

Labour Home Secretary publicly defy UK court ruling on deportation before next GE?

Will Israel's process of judicial review be reformed during the current Knesset term?

Will PCC have infiltrated the Brazilian Judiciary before 2033?

Latest stories