Jump News

Will the performance jump from GPT4->GPT5 be less than the one from GPT3->GPT4?

Apr 1, 6:39 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

79.43%chance

826082

OptionVotes

YES

1499

811

What will my beliefs about unsolved mysteries be in 2045?

Mar 16, 11:45 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

206046

OptionProbability

The existence of Dark Matter explains the anomaly in galaxy rotation curves (85%)

COVID-19 was natural in origin (80%).

The Lost Colony of Roanoke colonists have living decedents (55%)

The Mar Saba letter discovered by Morton Smith and containing excerpts from the "Secret Gospel of Mark" is a modern forgery (25%)

D.B. Cooper survived his parachute jump and escaped (30%)

JonBenét Ramsey was killed by a member of her family (10%)

Lizzie Borden killed her parents (10%)

Aaron Kosminski was Jack the Ripper (35%)

The Hubble Tension can be resolved without new physics or changes to cosmological models (55%)

The Voynich manuscript is a meaningful text (15%)

Will world real GDP jump by 20% in a year over any previous year in before 2040?

Nov 4, 12:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41%chance

346041

OptionVotes

YES

1193

570

Will Elon Musk ever do the "X Jump" on Mars?

Nov 25, 5:24 PMDec 3, 3:59 PM

6.82%chance

132827

OptionVotes

YES

3695

271

Will world real GDP jump by 20% in a year over any previous year in before 2030?

Nov 4, 12:02 PMNov 11, 11:59 PM

11.81%chance

211521

OptionVotes

YES

1475

904

Will Jumping Heel Click advance past the Emoji Subcommittee's first review stage?

May 24, 1:51 AMJan 1, 2:48 AM

8.9%chance

8320

OptionVotes

YES

320

Will there be a jumping heel click emoji by the end of 2028?

Jun 28, 9:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.16%chance

11266

OptionVotes

YES

177

Did D.B. Cooper Survive his Parachute Jump?

Oct 2, 5:07 AMDec 31, 6:06 AM

49.81%chance

888

OptionVotes

YES

100

Will there be a jumping heel click emoji by the end of 2030?

May 22, 10:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.62%chance

575

OptionVotes

YES

175

Will Bug Ego run for over 30 chapters? [manga] [shonen jump]

Mar 3, 8:52 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

70.34%chance

254

OptionVotes

YES

154

Connectome of jumping spider or a Portia spider by 2031

May 12, 11:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.75%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

110

Will Animal Signal run for more than 20 chapters in Weekly Shonen Jump?

Jun 8, 7:17 AMDec 8, 7:15 AM

54.75%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

110

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Will the performance jump from GPT4->GPT5 be less than the one from GPT3->GPT4?

What will my beliefs about unsolved mysteries be in 2045?

Will world real GDP jump by 20% in a year over any previous year in before 2040?

Will Elon Musk ever do the "X Jump" on Mars?

Will world real GDP jump by 20% in a year over any previous year in before 2030?

Will Jumping Heel Click advance past the Emoji Subcommittee's first review stage?

Will there be a jumping heel click emoji by the end of 2028?

Did D.B. Cooper Survive his Parachute Jump?

Will there be a jumping heel click emoji by the end of 2030?

Will Bug Ego run for over 30 chapters? [manga] [shonen jump]

Connectome of jumping spider or a Portia spider by 2031

Will Animal Signal run for more than 20 chapters in Weekly Shonen Jump?

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