DeepNewz, mobile.
People-sourced. AI-powered. Unbiased News.
OptionVotes
YES
NO
11105
10629
OptionProbability
Bond will be a man
Gunplay
Bond drives a car
Bond wears a suit/tuxedo
On screen fatalities
London will appear on screen
Car chase scene
Urban scene
Bond tells ≥1 joke
Blue-eyed Bond
Bond introduces himself as "Bond, James Bond"
World capital other than London appears on screen
A vessel is shown on screen containing any of the following: ketchup, mustard, wasabi, soy sauce, hot sauce, beer, wine, whiskey, cologne, or sulfuric acid.
A named character speaks in a language other than English
Bond will attend a gala, soirée, ball, banquet, masquerade, black-tie event, cocktail party, fundraiser, awards ceremony, premiere, reception, or a charity auction.
Bond drinks a martini
Runtime of at least 2 hours/120 minutes.
Female and/or BIPOC director and/or producer
Opening action sequence
The Tower of London, Big Ben, Buckingham Palace, Wembley, or Heathrow appears on screen.
Gun Barrel Sequence
Sex scene
Q appears
Bond solves ≥ 1 problem non-violently
Hacking electronics of some form
Bond uses explosives
The plot will be predominantly set in present day
Bond disarms someone with a melee weapon using martial arts
The main theme song will be sung by a female
The film features a scene at a UNESCO World Heritage Site.
Fatal-if-missed aerial jump
A Bird (Avian) Will Appear Onscreen for >2 Seconds
Bond will shoot an inanimate object on purpose.
Asia will appear on screen
It will gross more worldwide than No Time to Die ($774M)
Someone goes through a pane of glass
A named character is a double (or triple, etc.) agent
"King" or "Queen" of England mentioned
Bond is on vacation (is shown somewhere for enjoyment, without purpose for his mission)
Someone in the movie says the title
@HenriThunberg enjoys the film
It will feature ≥1 actor that was part of No Time to Die
The villain will use or work in the field of artificial intelligence.
>= 7.0 IMDB rating 1 year after release
The villain is played by an actor who had a lead or recurring role on a prestigious television series that aired on either AMC or HBO.
Actor who plays Bond at least 6' (183 cm) tall
South America, Africa, or Australia will appear on screen
The words "James Bond will return" appear on screen during or after the credits.
Bond rides a motorcycle
>=85 on Tomatometer 1 month after US release
Critics will say it's a return to classic bond
A sniper rifle is fired
At least a portion filmed in Canada
There will be a scene with wagering, gambling or betting
Bond wields a Walther PPK
Interracial sex scene
Pegasus, Phoenix, Griffin, Unicorn, Kraken, Minotaur, Medusa, Cyclops, Sphinx, Kitsune, Chimera, or Thunderbird (any visual representation)
Jungle / forest scene
Bond flys an aircraft
James Bond disobeys orders from MI6 or the British government
Bond attends a soccer match, cricket game, rugby match, boxing/MMA fight, tennis match, e-sport event, the Olympics, a carnival or fair, the opera, or a horse race.
Casino game scene
Bond parachutes
It passes the Bechdel test (two named women talk the each other about anything besides a man)
Bond wears shorts
Bond pays for something by leaving money on a table and walking off without the recipient of the money present
>=7.5 on IMDB 1 month after US release
Arctic scene
Someone uses a euphemism to order a killing
Bond gets slapped
M will be played by Ralph Fiennes
Prison/jail scene
Black market trafficking
A single large explosion occurs on screen at the same time as Bond, and he doesn't look at it
Someone climbs around on the outside of a building
Released in 2028
Skydiving
The main character will order a “Vodka Martini, shaken, not stirred” using that exact phrase.
A Gulf kingdom will appear on screen (e.g. Dubai)
Bond licks something
Bond and a pond shown on screen together
someone combs or brushes their hair (or the hair of another person)
Bond in bondage (not necessarily sexual)
Bond slaps someone
A scene shows James Bond naked
Bond puts something phallic-shaped in his mouth
Bond is violent toward a woman (e.g. painful pulling, slap, throat grip...)
Someone speaks a verbal password phrase to verify their identity, gain access to a location, etc.
There will be a voiced character that is an AI
Bond rides a bicycle
Torture
James Bond talks to a woman while playing a card game.
Bond receives a gunshot wound
A visible countdown clock, which if it reaches zero something bad happens
Wilhelm scream
Main villain has a visible physical defect (scar, handicap, missing limb, ...)
The title will refer to life and/or death
@brunoparga correctly guesses a pun beforehand
Bond plays craps, roulette, or blackjack
Bond drives a boat
A jet ski or snowmobile gets airborne
Someone is shot with a tranquilizer dart or other nonlethal incapacitating projectile (getting wounded with a potentially lethal weapon doesn't count)
James Bond plays poker
Bond commits arson
Oral sex
Bond smokes a cigarette/cigar
Tom Hardy, Cillian Murphy, or Zendaya appear on screen
Martini and a bikini shown on screen at the same time
Bond has facial hair
Terrorists
US premier date is moved forward at least once (has to be numbered date, "summer 2026" doesn't count)
Someone carries a gun disassembled in a nondescript case
A safe is cracked (any means possible)
Actor who plays Bond is a US citizen
Rolex, Aston Martin, Bollinger Champaign product placements (all three)
Desert scene
The ending pitches a next movie (continued story, introduction of villain, venegance, ...)
A pandemic or biological warfare will be a central plot
Ski chase scene
Drug use
Someone/something is x-rayed
Thunderstorm
Dessert scene
An actor who previous played a Bond villain appears (as either a new or recurring character)
President of the United States is mentioned
IF the main villain has a pet that plays a significant role in the plot, this pet is a horse...
Robots
Bond throws food, darts, or a Molotov cocktail
Death of a Bond love interest
It refers to the transition between two British monarchs (Elizabeth, Charles and/or others)
Bond will have a hot, young, American sidekick
Theme song will be performed by a band (more than one artist. Duran Duran did it, so there is precedent.)
There will be a promotional event in Fortnite
Bond wears a mask
Sharks
Cocaine or caviar appears on screen
Bond will be in a submarine
James Bond plays baccarat
Scene with Bond wearing a hat and sunglasses
Cryptocurrency is referenced
Bond complains about the quality of an alcoholic beverage
Bond plays golf, tennis, or croquet
Bond is LQBTQ+
Bond rides an animal
James games (Bond plays any video game, table top board game, or role-playing game) *chess counts, casino games don't
Main villain speaks Russian on screen
Bond has a disability
Nazis (neo- counts)
Bond claims to have retired / quit from the world of espionage
Mexico is shown on screen
Jetpack
The movie will be set during the Cold War (1947-1991)
An EMP device plays a central role.
Climate change/global warming is explicitly mentioned
At least one named character below 18 years old
Orgy
Canada is shown on screen
Will feature something that can turn invisible
A hamburger appears on screen
Moscow, Kyiv, or Paris shown on screen
Underwater combat
Bond goes to space
The word "fuck" is said more than once.
With all this speculation about which kinds of sex acts will be shown, I'm surprised nobody has said it yet, so I'll say it: 𝕓𝕠𝕟𝕕𝕒𝕘𝕖
Bond beds a "lady of the night" (ie. He fucks a prostitute)
Bond is blond
Features a shot with someone lowering a newspaper, magazine or book, revealing they had been surreptitiously spying on someone
Someone sees something incredible, and implicitly ascribes it to alcohol (traditionally, by looking at the bottle)
Theme song is performed by Taylor Swift
A previous Bond actor appears (as either a new or recurring character)
Assplay
Trans character - explicity stated they are trans, no ambiguity (must be on screen for min. 7 seconds and say at least 3 words)
Bond plays Russian roulette
Bond uses a VR headset
Bond has a neck tattoo
Aaron Taylor-Johnson plays Bond
The main villain has a pet that plays a significant role in the plot.
Revealed that "James Bond" has always been a code name.
fight featuring at least one of: viper, mongoose, someone with one of those as their code name
A pinball machine will appear.
Gay sex scene
Pirates
Party and play (PnP), also known as chemsex, scene
Emilia Clarke portrays a character
A character has the codename "Fat Rascal"
Someone asks for payment in "small, unmarked bills" or "negotiable bearer bonds" (wording need not be exact)
Theme song is performed by The Weeknd
San Francisco is shown on screen
Pegging
Another character coincidentally has the first name "James" or surname "Bond" (or both)
Horse cock on screen (flaccid)
Someone uses the word "clip" to refer to a magazine
Satanism
Bond consumes more than 1.5 loads of jizz
A clocks shows the time 4:20
It will be described as featuring AI, such as claims that is uses “AI actors”, as reported by entertainment media.
Feature Nightcore music
Supernatural entities
There will be a character codenamed "Fat Rascal" and they will be played by an American
ChatGPT is referenced by any character
Bond uses chopsticks
Released in 2026
Nuclear explosion
Desert dessert scene (e.g. eating an ice cream in the Sahara)
Any character says the word "anime"
Bond has a mustache (no other facial hair)
Vampires
Bond vapes
Bond won't be Caucasian
The main character will order a “café mocha, double double” using that exact phrase.
Bond dies
Scat play
Bond does depraved sexual acts for money (e.g., bukakke, public gang bangs, period play, etc.)
Contains a joke or indirect reference to the "last night I Bond Burgered your sister" meme
Horse cock on screen (erect)
Prediction markets, origami, or the word "manifold" appear in the movie.
Bond will say the line about snakes on a plane, but only as a metaphor (with snakes representing penises and the plane being his ass).
The handkerchief code is a major plot element
James Bond will say, "I'm rational, rationalussy."
Bond is vegan
The fourth wall is broken
It will be directed by a woman
Bond plays League of Legends
Destiny appears on screen
Bond says, “Enough is enough! I have had it with these motherfucking snakes on this motherfucking plane!”
Dragons
Dinosaurs
It will be directed by Christopher Nolan
Bond hits the griddy
98
98
97
96
95
95
94
93
91
91
90
90
90
90
89
87
87
86
85
85
84
83
82
80
77
77
76
75
72
72
70
69
69
69
68
68
68
65
62
60
60
59
59
59
58
58
57
57
56
55
55
55
54
53
53
53
53
52
51
50
50
50
49
49
49
49
48
48
48
46
45
45
45
45
45
45
45
43
43
43
43
43
42
41
41
39
39
39
38
38
38
37
37
37
37
37
36
36
36
35
35
35
34
34
33
32
32
32
32
32
32
32
31
31
30
30
30
29
29
29
29
29
28
28
28
28
27
27
26
26
25
25
25
25
24
24
23
23
23
23
23
23
22
22
22
21
21
21
21
20
19
19
19
19
19
18
17
16
16
16
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
14
14
14
14
14
13
13
12
12
11
11
10
10
10
10
9
9
9
9
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
7
7
7
7
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
OptionVotes
YES
NO
16867
9913
OptionProbability
President with Green Eyes elected
Crewed mission to Phobos
USA adds 52nd state
Room temperature superconductor discovered
UK has a queen again
24th Doctor Who regenerates into the 25th
Olympics hosted in Japan again
RSA-2048 cracked
ChatGPT 10 releases
Harlem Globetrotters lose again
2000 Pokemon Released or franchise ceases
Batman enters the public domain
The Beatles music enters the public domain
Hershey's reintroduces the Gold bar
Norway Bans Whaling
African company or country lands on moon
Tom Scott's This Video Has X Views hits 1B
human dies on the moon
Japan Bans Whaling
Tom Scott's This Video Has X Views hits 500M
Pokemon Card sells for $10M
First hispanic USA president
Olympics hosted in Africa
Longest suspension bridge record broken
Pickleball in the Olympics
Team Fortress 3 releases
Country claims the Bir Tawil triangle
End support date for Windows 12
Grand Theft Auto 7 releases
USA fully ends embargo on Cuba
The next 9.0 magnitude earthquake
The first $10T market cap company
USA Adds 51st state
Superman enters the public domain
Iceland Bans Whaling
Human walks on mars
The version after Windows 12 releases
Centennial Lightbulb burns out
Underwater hold breath world record broken
China invades Taiwan or resolves conflict
Destiny retires from regular streaming
First asian USA president (as judged by self ID & manifold opinion after inauguration)
Bugs Bunny enters public domain
Windows 11 end support date
Grimace Shake returns to McDonalds
Sitting USA president visits Belize for the first time
Peppa Pig ends
EU reaches 30 member states
19th Doctor Who regenerates into 20th
Bitcoin reaches $200K USD
Taika Waititi's Star Wars film releases
India hosts the Olympics
Blood Meridian movie release
1500 Pokemon Released
Star Citizen releases or company ceases
Family Guy ends
Civilization 8 releases
Kingdom Hearts 4 releases
First female USA president
Two grand slams in one MLB game by one player again
South Park ends
Manifold reaches 20K MAU
ChatGPT 7 releases
Chicago ends on Broadway
Simpsons ends
Xi no longer in power in China
James Cameron's Avatar 4 releases
Another MLB perfect game pitched
Burj Khalifa record for tallest building broken
1300 Pokemon Released
Trump Dies
Human walks on moon again
Book of Mormon ends on Broadway
Uber OR Lyft bankrupt / acquired / ceases
Manifold reaches 40K MAU
USA's Doris Miller aircraft carrier launched
Half Life 3 releases
a USA president impeached again
One piece manga ends
Skibidi Toilet ends
Bitcoin reaches $150K USD
Another Five Nights at Freddy's movie comes out
Putin no longer in power in Russia
Russia / Ukraine conflict ceasefire
Shrek 5 releases
Sagrada Familia Church completed
Grand Theft Auto 6 releases
Twitter gets a new CEO after Linda Yaccarino (or ceases operations)
ChatGPT 6 releases
First Trillionaire (USD)
marijuana no longer federally a schedule 1 drug in the USA
Human runs official marathon under 2h
Price of gold hits $5000/oz
The first $5T market cap company
USA discontinues or changes penny coin
Death Stranding 2 releases
First $100B revenue media franchise
New Pope after Francis
Civilization 7 releases
Bitcoin reaches $100K USD
Mario 64 120star speedrun WR 1h36m00s or less
Dallas Mavericks play in the NBA championship
Sweden joins NATO
78
78
76
76
75
74
72
69
68
67
66
66
65
63
62
61
61
61
59
59
58
58
57
55
54
54
54
53
52
50
50
49
47
46
45
44
44
42
41
41
41
40
40
39
38
38
38
38
37
35
35
35
34
33
33
33
33
32
31
31
31
31
30
30
29
29
29
28
27
26
26
25
24
24
24
24
23
22
21
21
20
20
20
17
17
15
15
14
13
13
12
11
10
9
8
7
6
6
5
4
3
2
1
OptionVotes
NO
YES
11950
9069
OptionProbability
Mana gets devalued (compared to USD) again (donation rate used 1000M:0.95USD).
Global temperature > 1.5°C Paris Agreement
This market reaches 50k in total volume.
This market reaches 50+ answers.
This market reaches 100+ traders.
This market reaches 500k in total volume.
This market reaches 250+ traders.
Ray Kurzweil dies
30 different users add an answer to this market.
Alcor still exists, and nobody in their freezers has been thawe.
This market reaches 100+ answers.
This market reaches 500+ traders.
A human walks on Mars.
Someone gets a (Manifold) networth of 1B+ mana.
organs for transplantation are mostly artificial/laboratory grown for the biological humans
(Nominal) worldwide GDP reaches 500T USD.
China's GDP surpasses that of the United States
This market reaches 1000+ traders.
Strutheo's Manifold approval market index remains at or above 75% for one month
A manifold market reaches over 20k individual traders.
The UN reaches 200 member states.
A manifold market reaches over 10k individual traders.
A Manifold business is valued at over 10M Mana (by a significant >2.5% purchase)
YoY US inflation (CPI) reaches over 25%
Global extreme poverty below 1% of the population
Elon Musk goes bald a second time.
Worldwide carbon neutrality is achieved.
An ASI trades on, adds an option to, or comments on this market.
A worldwide pandemic kills at least 2% of the human population in a single year.
Malaria goes extinct
Manifold shuts down.
3 US presidential candidates get at least 60 electoral votes each in a US presidential election.
This market gets a Sweepstakes/other cash version.
A US president gets elected with over 450 electoral votes.
the calendar is changed
majority of human babies are delivered from artificial system, rather than via natural pregnancy
A billionaire successfully buys a country.
USA has a single-payer healthcare system.
@GastonKessler goes to space.
A billionaire CEO successfully buys a country.
A US president (other than FDR) has served three terms.
100
100
95
94
89
82
80
80
80
80
77
76
76
70
70
66
60
54
51
51
50
50
48
44
42
40
39
38
37
36
33
33
31
29
27
26
25
25
20
20
19
OptionProbability
Human walks on Mars
USA adds 51st state
Tom Scott's 'This Video has X Views' reaches 500M views
Olympics hosted in Africa
The Centennial Light Bulb burns out
Bitcoin reaches $200K USD
2000 Pokemon released (or series ends)
Star Citizen released (or company ceases)
Sagrada Familia Church completed
The Simpsons ends
74
70
56
40
40
36
32
31
29
28
OptionProbability
One Piece has ended
Putin no longer leader of Russia
Hasanabi retires from livestreaming
a tenth country is confirmed to have nuclear weapons
China-Taiwan conflict fully starts
MikeFromPA retires from livestreaming
Ukraine-Russia conflict is resolved
1500 or more official pokemon
Vaush retires from livestreaming
August retires / fired / is replaced as lead editor
Destiny dies
He gets married again
pickleball in the olympics
ukraine joins nato
Plays Rust on stream again
Human walks on the Moon again
Human walks on Mars
He has another child (or adopts one)
Streams on Twitch again
Chat GPT 8 has released
American elects its 50th president (with Biden being #46, no Cleveland-conscious counting)
Talks to a retired president
Playstation 7 has released
Bitcoin reaches $200K at least one time
Talks to a sitting president while they are serving in office
Someone has reached 2900 FIDE chess rating
Israel-Palestine conflict is resolved
Filibuster is abolished
91
90
90
89
87
87
86
84
82
69
56
54
50
50
50
50
50
48
46
41
41
41
38
34
34
31
27
26
OptionProbability
A player will hit for the cycle
A team will record a combined no-hitter
A team will complete a triple play
A manager will be ejected 5+ times in one season
A player will record 40+ saves
A team will lose 100+ games
A team will have 3 players with 30+ home runs
A player will record 200+ hits
A player will record 50+ stolen bases
A pitcher will record 10+ strikeouts in three consecutive starts
A player will pitch a no hitter
A player will have a 40/40 season
A player will record 3+ intentional walks in one game
A player will record a 30-game hitting streak
A player will hit 4+ home runs in a single game
A team will win 110+ regular season games
The Dodgers will 3-peat
A player will hit for the triple crown
A player will hit > 62 homeruns
A player will pitch a perfect game
A player will record 300+ strikeouts
A player will record 100+ extra-base hits
A player will record a .400+ batting average
100
100
90
90
77
75
61
48
44
35
31
31
27
24
23
17
14
14
10
10
10
10
1
OptionProbability
I lose my virginity 🤯 (literally never gonna happen)
I don’t die 💀
I save >1000 human lives 🚑
I get 1M followers / subscribers on any single online account 😎
I unironically reject and condemn all of my current philosophical / political beliefs 😈
I win a hyper-prestigious international prize 🏆
I become a billionaire 🤑
I become head of state / government of a UN-recognised nation 👑
I get struck by lightning 🌩️
I walk on the moon 🚀
Shark attack 🦈
I shuffle a deck of cards and it ends up in exact ascending order 🃏
75
33
30
26
14
9
5
3
2
2
2
0
OptionVotes
YES
NO
1352
876
OptionProbability
A MOU is signed to begin negotiations
Trump allows Iran to keep its Uranium
The US announces it is walking away from a deal
The Strait of Hormuz is fully reopened without fees
The war restarts
Trump allows Iran to charge fees on ships in the Strait
Iran announces it is walking away from a deal
A final peace deal is signed
Israel agrees to stop fighting in Lebanon
Iran agrees to hand over its enriched uranium
100
71
66
50
50
49
46
34
34
24