Just Walk Out News

NO

Bond will be a man

Gunplay

Bond drives a car

On screen fatalities

London will appear on screen

Car chase scene

Urban scene

Bond wears a suit/tuxedo

Bond tells ≥1 joke

Bond introduces himself as "Bond, James Bond"

A vessel is shown on screen containing any of the following: ketchup, mustard, wasabi, soy sauce, hot sauce, beer, wine, whiskey, cologne, or sulfuric acid.

A named character speaks in a language other than English

Bond will attend a gala, soirée, ball, banquet, masquerade, black-tie event, cocktail party, fundraiser, awards ceremony, premiere, reception, or a charity auction.

Bond drinks a martini

Female and/or BIPOC director and/or producer

Opening action sequence

The Tower of London, Big Ben, Buckingham Palace, Wembley, or Heathrow appears on screen.

Gun Barrel Sequence

Sex scene

World capital other than London appears on screen

Hacking electronics of some form

Q appears

Runtime of at least 2 hours/120 minutes.

Bond solves ≥ 1 problem non-violently

Bond uses explosives

The plot will be predominantly set in present day

Bond disarms someone with a melee weapon using martial arts

The main theme song will be sung by a female

The film features a scene at a UNESCO World Heritage Site.

Fatal-if-missed aerial jump

A Bird (Avian) Will Appear Onscreen for >2 Seconds

Bond will shoot an inanimate object on purpose.

Asia will appear on screen

Someone goes through a pane of glass

A named character is a double (or triple, etc.) agent

It will gross more worldwide than No Time to Die ($774M)

The villain will use or work in the field of artificial intelligence.

"King" or "Queen" of England mentioned

Bond is on vacation (is shown somewhere for enjoyment, without purpose for his mission)

Someone in the movie says the title

@HenriThunberg enjoys the film

It will feature ≥1 actor that was part of No Time to Die

The villain is played by an actor who had a lead or recurring role on a prestigious television series that aired on either AMC or HBO.

South America, Africa, or Australia will appear on screen

The words "James Bond will return" appear on screen during or after the credits.

Bond rides a motorcycle

A single large explosion occurs on screen at the same time as Bond, and he doesn't look at it

>=85 on Tomatometer 1 month after US release

Critics will say it's a return to classic bond

A sniper rifle is fired

At least a portion filmed in Canada

Blue-eyed Bond

There will be a scene with wagering, gambling or betting

Bond wields a Walther PPK

Interracial sex scene

Pegasus, Phoenix, Griffin, Unicorn, Kraken, Minotaur, Medusa, Cyclops, Sphinx, Kitsune, Chimera, or Thunderbird (any visual representation)

Jungle / forest scene

M will be played by Ralph Fiennes

Bond flys an aircraft

James Bond disobeys orders from MI6 or the British government

Bond attends a soccer match, cricket game, rugby match, boxing/MMA fight, tennis match, e-sport event, the Olympics, a carnival or fair, the opera, or a horse race.

Casino game scene

>= 7.0 IMDB rating 1 year after release

Bond parachutes

It passes the Bechdel test (two named women talk the each other about anything besides a man)

Bond wears shorts

Bond pays for something by leaving money on a table and walking off without the recipient of the money present

>=7.5 on IMDB 1 month after US release

Arctic scene

Someone uses a euphemism to order a killing

Bond gets slapped

Prison/jail scene

A jet ski or snowmobile gets airborne

Black market trafficking

Someone climbs around on the outside of a building

Released in 2028

Skydiving

The main character will order a “Vodka Martini, shaken, not stirred” using that exact phrase.

Bond licks something

Bond and a pond shown on screen together

Main villain has a visible physical defect (scar, handicap, missing limb, ...)

someone combs or brushes their hair (or the hair of another person)

Bond in bondage (not necessarily sexual)

Bond slaps someone

A scene shows James Bond naked

Actor who plays Bond at least 6' (183 cm) tall

Death of a Bond love interest

James Bond talks to a woman while playing a card game.

A Gulf kingdom will appear on screen (e.g. Dubai)

Bond puts something phallic-shaped in his mouth

Bond is violent toward a woman (e.g. painful pulling, slap, throat grip...)

There will be a voiced character that is an AI

Bond rides a bicycle

Torture

Bond receives a gunshot wound

A visible countdown clock, which if it reaches zero something bad happens

Wilhelm scream

The title will refer to life and/or death

@brunoparga correctly guesses a pun beforehand

Bond plays craps, roulette, or blackjack

Bond drives a boat

A safe is cracked (any means possible)

Someone is shot with a tranquilizer dart or other nonlethal incapacitating projectile (getting wounded with a potentially lethal weapon doesn't count)

James Bond plays poker

Bond commits arson

Cryptocurrency is referenced

Oral sex

Bond smokes a cigarette/cigar

Tom Hardy, Cillian Murphy, or Zendaya appear on screen

Martini and a bikini shown on screen at the same time

Terrorists

US premier date is moved forward at least once (has to be numbered date, "summer 2026" doesn't count)

Someone carries a gun disassembled in a nondescript case

Someone speaks a verbal password phrase to verify their identity, gain access to a location, etc.

Actor who plays Bond is a US citizen

A pandemic or biological warfare will be a central plot

Desert scene

Nazis (neo- counts)

The ending pitches a next movie (continued story, introduction of villain, venegance, ...)

Ski chase scene

Drug use

Someone/something is x-rayed

Thunderstorm

Dessert scene

An actor who previous played a Bond villain appears (as either a new or recurring character)

President of the United States is mentioned

IF the main villain has a pet that plays a significant role in the plot, this pet is a horse...

Robots

Bond throws food, darts, or a Molotov cocktail

It refers to the transition between two British monarchs (Elizabeth, Charles and/or others)

Bond has facial hair

Bond will have a hot, young, American sidekick

Theme song will be performed by a band (more than one artist. Duran Duran did it, so there is precedent.)

There will be a promotional event in Fortnite

Bond wears a mask

Sharks

Cocaine or caviar appears on screen

James Bond plays baccarat

Scene with Bond wearing a hat and sunglasses

Bond complains about the quality of an alcoholic beverage

Bond plays golf, tennis, or croquet

Bond will be in a submarine

Bond goes to space

Bond is LQBTQ+

Bond rides an animal

James games (Bond plays any video game, table top board game, or role-playing game) *chess counts, casino games don't

Rolex, Aston Martin, Bollinger Champaign product placements (all three)

Main villain speaks Russian on screen

Bond has a disability

Bond claims to have retired / quit from the world of espionage

Mexico is shown on screen

Moscow, Kyiv, or Paris shown on screen

Jetpack

The movie will be set during the Cold War (1947-1991)

A previous Bond actor appears (as either a new or recurring character)

Trans character - explicity stated they are trans, no ambiguity (must be on screen for min. 7 seconds and say at least 3 words)

An EMP device plays a central role.

Climate change/global warming is explicitly mentioned

At least one named character below 18 years old

Canada is shown on screen

Orgy

Will feature something that can turn invisible

Someone asks for payment in "small, unmarked bills" or "negotiable bearer bonds" (wording need not be exact)

Underwater combat

The word "fuck" is said more than once.

With all this speculation about which kinds of sex acts will be shown, I'm surprised nobody has said it yet, so I'll say it: 𝕓𝕠𝕟𝕕𝕒𝕘𝕖

Bond beds a "lady of the night" (ie. He fucks a prostitute)

The main villain has a pet that plays a significant role in the plot.

Bond is blond

Features a shot with someone lowering a newspaper, magazine or book, revealing they had been surreptitiously spying on someone

Someone sees something incredible, and implicitly ascribes it to alcohol (traditionally, by looking at the bottle)

A pinball machine will appear.

Pirates

Theme song is performed by Taylor Swift

Assplay

Bond plays Russian roulette

Emilia Clarke portrays a character

Bond won't be Caucasian

A hamburger appears on screen

Bond uses a VR headset

Bond has a neck tattoo

Aaron Taylor-Johnson plays Bond

Nuclear explosion

Someone uses the word "clip" to refer to a magazine

Satanism

Revealed that "James Bond" has always been a code name.

fight featuring at least one of: viper, mongoose, someone with one of those as their code name

It will be described as featuring AI, such as claims that is uses “AI actors”, as reported by entertainment media.

Gay sex scene

ChatGPT is referenced by any character

Party and play (PnP), also known as chemsex, scene

Bond has a mustache (no other facial hair)

A character has the codename "Fat Rascal"

Theme song is performed by The Weeknd

San Francisco is shown on screen

Pegging

Another character coincidentally has the first name "James" or surname "Bond" (or both)

Horse cock on screen (flaccid)

Bond consumes more than 1.5 loads of jizz

A clocks shows the time 4:20

Feature Nightcore music

Supernatural entities

Prediction markets, origami, or the word "manifold" appear in the movie.

There will be a character codenamed "Fat Rascal" and they will be played by an American

Bond uses chopsticks

Released in 2026

Desert dessert scene (e.g. eating an ice cream in the Sahara)

Any character says the word "anime"

Vampires

Bond vapes

The main character will order a “café mocha, double double” using that exact phrase.

Bond dies

The fourth wall is broken

Scat play

Bond does depraved sexual acts for money (e.g., bukakke, public gang bangs, period play, etc.)

Contains a joke or indirect reference to the "last night I Bond Burgered your sister" meme

Horse cock on screen (erect)

Bond will say the line about snakes on a plane, but only as a metaphor (with snakes representing penises and the plane being his ass).

The handkerchief code is a major plot element

James Bond will say, "I'm rational, rationalussy."

Bond is vegan

It will be directed by a woman

Bond plays League of Legends

Destiny appears on screen

Bond says, “Enough is enough! I have had it with these motherfucking snakes on this motherfucking plane!”

Dragons

Dinosaurs

It will be directed by Christopher Nolan

China attacks Taiwan

U.S. Attacked

China invades Taiwan

Not Guilty

Guilty [after June 5, 2024]

Record Broken for Hottest Day on Earth

Government shuts down

Trump impeached

Landmark Decision

War declared

Trump

Gaza

Putin to step down

Woman Walks on the Moon

Election overturned

Griswold Overturned

Xi dead

Swing States

America Under Attack

Russia and Ukraine [or Ukraine and Russia] sign a peace deal

Trillionaire

Ceasefire established in Gaza

Putin killed

Fed announces

On all counts

Trump again

Joe Biden Dead at 83

Trump wins

Trump convicted

Four more years

Haley to suspend campaign

Extraterrestrials Are Real

Artificial Intelligence

Putin is dead

Market Meltdown

Jimmy Carter dies

Madam President

Biden wins

Biden resigns

Biden wins again

Biden's Age is Becoming the Central Issue of the Campaign

Biden Re-elected

Sentenced to

YES

President with Green Eyes elected

Crewed mission to Phobos

Room temperature superconductor discovered

USA adds 52nd state

24th Doctor Who regenerates into the 25th

UK has a queen again

Olympics hosted in Japan again

ChatGPT 10 releases

RSA-2048 cracked

Harlem Globetrotters lose again

2000 Pokemon Released or franchise ceases

Batman enters the public domain

The Beatles music enters the public domain

Hershey's reintroduces the Gold bar

Norway Bans Whaling

African company or country lands on moon

Tom Scott's This Video Has X Views hits 1B

human dies on the moon

Olympics hosted in Africa

Japan Bans Whaling

Tom Scott's This Video Has X Views hits 500M

Longest suspension bridge record broken

Pokemon Card sells for $10M

First hispanic USA president

End support date for Windows 12

Pickleball in the Olympics

Team Fortress 3 releases

Country claims the Bir Tawil triangle

Grand Theft Auto 7 releases

The next 9.0 magnitude earthquake

The first $10T market cap company

USA Adds 51st state

USA fully ends embargo on Cuba

Superman enters the public domain

Iceland Bans Whaling

Human walks on mars

The version after Windows 12 releases

Centennial Lightbulb burns out

Underwater hold breath world record broken

Bitcoin reaches $200K USD

China invades Taiwan or resolves conflict

Destiny retires from regular streaming

19th Doctor Who regenerates into 20th

Bugs Bunny enters public domain

Grimace Shake returns to McDonalds

Sitting USA president visits Belize for the first time

Peppa Pig ends

EU reaches 30 member states

First asian USA president (as judged by self ID & manifold opinion after inauguration)

1500 Pokemon Released

Windows 11 end support date

Taika Waititi's Star Wars film releases

India hosts the Olympics

Blood Meridian movie release

Star Citizen releases or company ceases

Family Guy ends

Civilization 8 releases

Kingdom Hearts 4 releases

First female USA president

Two grand slams in one MLB game by one player again

South Park ends

Manifold reaches 20K MAU

ChatGPT 7 releases

Simpsons ends

Xi no longer in power in China

Trump Dies

First Trillionaire (USD)

Human walks on moon again

Chicago ends on Broadway

1300 Pokemon Released

Uber OR Lyft bankrupt / acquired / ceases

Half Life 3 releases

Manifold reaches 40K MAU

USA's Doris Miller aircraft carrier launched

Another MLB perfect game pitched

James Cameron's Avatar 4 releases

Bitcoin reaches $150K USD

Book of Mormon ends on Broadway

One piece manga ends

Human runs official marathon under 2h

Skibidi Toilet ends

Another Five Nights at Freddy's movie comes out

a USA president impeached again

Putin no longer in power in Russia

Burj Khalifa record for tallest building broken

Russia / Ukraine conflict ceasefire

Shrek 5 releases

Sagrada Familia Church completed

Grand Theft Auto 6 releases

ChatGPT 6 releases

Twitter gets a new CEO after Linda Yaccarino (or ceases operations)

marijuana no longer federally a schedule 1 drug in the USA

Price of gold hits $5000/oz

The first $5T market cap company

USA discontinues or changes penny coin

Death Stranding 2 releases

First $100B revenue media franchise

New Pope after Francis

Civilization 7 releases

Bitcoin reaches $100K USD

Mario 64 120star speedrun WR 1h36m00s or less

Dallas Mavericks play in the NBA championship

NO

China launches military drills around Taiwan

Warnings from Western intelligence agencies about Chinese invasion preparations

China engages in a partial/total naval blockade of Taiwan

Submarine cables around Taiwan are damaged

A western think-tank warns about a Chinese naval build-up

Major cyberattack on Taiwanese infrastructure

Reports about the discovery of a Chinese spy in Taiwan's military

At least one western country charters a fight to evacuate its citizens from Taiwan

China shoots down a Taiwanese aircraft

At least one western country tells its citizens to leave China

A Chinese entity releases a frontier AI model

Taiwan revokes visa of pro-Beijing influencer

Taiwan shoots down a Chinese aircraft

China issues new warning to its citizens about travelling to the US

China fires missiles/rockets/artillery/railguns over Taiwan

China declares a no-fly zone over Taiwan

China switches its industrial overcapacity over to military production

A military ship sinks in the Pacific in suspicious circumstances (or due to clear evidence of hostile action)

Reports that China is building new concentration camps

A popular Chinese movie is released containing a scene with an amphibious assault

Chinese government tells large numbers of its citizens to return to China

Chinese soldiers are involved in active combat outside of Chinese territory (excluding UN peacekeeping)

A US company has a market cap of at least 5 trillion dollars at any point in the 12-month window

Significant damage to low-earth orbit satellites (compared to per-satellite damage level in 2024) -- including but not limited to hostile action and kessler syndrome

Reports of drone activity over US military bases in the Pacific

Major cyberattack on Japanese infrastructure

A Taiwanese politician dies in suspicious circumstances

Major cyberattack on South Korean infrastructure

Reports about the discovery of a Chinese spy in the US military

Reports about the discovery of a Chinese spy in Japan's military

Reports about the discovery of a Chinese spy in South Korea's military

the US implements tariffs of at least 25% on Taiwanese semiconductors (implemented at any point in the 12-month window)

A US semiconductor facility is damaged in a fire/explosion or act of sabotage

At least three civilian flights to Taiwan are diverted to land in China

Significant constitutional crisis in the US

Nasdaq is at 60% of its previous peak at any time in the 12-month period

Reports about the discovery of a Chinese spy in Australia's military

Reports about the discovery of a Chinese spy in India's military

A civilian ship sinks in the Pacific in suspicious circumstances (or due to clear evidence of hostile action)

The US implements significant travel restrictions on Chinese citizens (compared to 2024)

Reports of a major corruption scandal involving a Taiwanese/US/Japanese/South-Korean semiconductor company

Oil prices are at >=100 dollars a barrel at any time in the 12-month window

Reports that a large scale cyberattack has physically damaged AI chips in the West

Credible reports in Western news media about activity relating to biolabs in North Korea

1 million humanoid robots have been manufactured

50k soldiers from NATO countries are stationed in Ukraine

A popular Western podcaster/youtuber is prevented from leaving a country by China/Russia

the US implements tariffs of at least 50% on most imports from China

A US movie with a budget of at least 30 million dollars is released containing a US vs China war scene

The US bombs Iran

Major cyberattack on Western frontier AI lab

Major Earthquake in/near Japan > 7 Richter

Attack on a US military asset in the Pacific

A Taiwanese semiconductor manufacturing facility is damaged in a fire/explosion or act of sabotage

An apocalypse cult attacks a civilian or military target in Taiwan

A human walks on the Moon

At least three prominent Taiwanese AI researchers disappear

Reports that the US has used a sixth-generation fighter in combat operations

Reports that China has used a sixth-generation fighter in combat operations

The US reduces sanctions on Russia

Ukraine loses the Donbass region in a ceasefire/peace deal with Russia

The US attempts to expand its territory by force

Reports of suspicious electromagnetic phenomena in the upper atmosphere

Elon Musk is pardoned

China arrests / takes hostage at least 100 westerners (non-taiwanese) on spurious grounds

The US attempts to expand its territory by economic coercion

Attempted coup in Taiwan

the US implements tariffs of at least 75% on most imports from China

Donald Trump is replaced as the US's leader

The US withdraws from NATO

100k soldiers from NATO countries are stationed in Ukraine

Vladimir Putin is replaced as Russia's leader

The US military performs combat operations in Mexico

A NATO soldier on active duty is killed by Russia

Russia attacks a NATO member (excluding attacks on submarine cables)

AGI is achieved by a non-Chinese entity

North Korea detonates a nuclear weapon

AGI is achieved by a Chinese entity

Xi Jinping is replaced as China's leader

India detonates a nuclear weapon

Russia cedes territory to China

Vladivostok is not under Russia's control

Ukraine signs a deal with the US giving it access to its minerals

Zelensky is replaced as the leader of Ukraine

Reports in western media about a Taiwanese businessperson falling out of the window of a tall building

Taiwanese political leader dies in small plane accident (w/out being attacked by kinetic or other physical weapon)

Chinese soldiers present in Europe in official combat roles (including peacekeeping)

An AI datacenter is hit by a significant EMP blast

China executes at least 5 citizens of western countries

A major pandemic occurs

Attempted coup in Russia

Attempted coup in the Phillipines

The US military performs combat operations on Palestinian territory

The US detonates a nuclear weapon

The US attacks a NATO member

Tulsi Gabbard is arrested on treason charges

A nuclear weapon is detonated

Attempted coup in China

Japan takes control of the Kuril Islands

Successful revolution in Iran

Russia detonates a nuclear weapon

Elon Musk is arrested on treason charges

Attempted coup in the US

Strong evidence supporting the covid lab-leak theory emerges

China detonates a nuclear weapon

South Korea detonates a nuclear weapon

Japan detonates a nuclear weapon

Australia detonates a nuclear weapon

Mana gets devalued (compared to USD) again (donation rate used 1000M:0.95USD).

Global temperature > 1.5°C Paris Agreement

This market reaches 50k in total volume.

This market reaches 50+ answers.

This market reaches 100+ traders.

This market reaches 500k in total volume.

This market reaches 250+ traders.

Ray Kurzweil dies

30 different users add an answer to this market.

Alcor still exists, and nobody in their freezers has been thawe.

A human walks on Mars.

This market reaches 100+ answers.

This market reaches 500+ traders.

Someone gets a (Manifold) networth of 1B+ mana.

organs for transplantation are mostly artificial/laboratory grown for the biological humans

(Nominal) worldwide GDP reaches 500T USD.

China's GDP surpasses that of the United States

This market reaches 1000+ traders.

Strutheo's Manifold approval market index remains at or above 75% for one month

A manifold market reaches over 20k individual traders.

The UN reaches 200 member states.

A manifold market reaches over 10k individual traders.

A Manifold business is valued at over 10M Mana (by a significant >2.5% purchase)

YoY US inflation (CPI) reaches over 25%

Global extreme poverty below 1% of the population

Elon Musk goes bald a second time.

A worldwide pandemic kills at least 2% of the human population in a single year.

An ASI trades on, adds an option to, or comments on this market.

Worldwide carbon neutrality is achieved.

Malaria goes extinct

Manifold shuts down.

3 US presidential candidates get at least 60 electoral votes each in a US presidential election.

This market gets a Sweepstakes/other cash version.

A US president gets elected with over 450 electoral votes.

the calendar is changed

majority of human babies are delivered from artificial system, rather than via natural pregnancy

A billionaire successfully buys a country.

USA has a single-payer healthcare system.

@GastonKessler goes to space.

A billionaire CEO successfully buys a country.

Human walks on Mars

USA adds 51st state

Tom Scott's 'This Video has X Views' reaches 500M views

Olympics hosted in Africa

The Centennial Light Bulb burns out

Bitcoin reaches $200K USD

2000 Pokemon released (or series ends)

Star Citizen released (or company ceases)

Sagrada Familia Church completed

One Piece has ended

Putin no longer leader of Russia

Hasanabi retires from livestreaming

a tenth country is confirmed to have nuclear weapons

China-Taiwan conflict fully starts

MikeFromPA retires from livestreaming

Ukraine-Russia conflict is resolved

1500 or more official pokemon

Vaush retires from livestreaming

August retires / fired / is replaced as lead editor

Destiny dies

He gets married again

pickleball in the olympics

ukraine joins nato

Plays Rust on stream again

Human walks on the Moon again

Human walks on Mars

He has another child (or adopts one)

Chat GPT 8 has released

American elects its 50th president (with Biden being #46, no Cleveland-conscious counting)

Talks to a retired president

Playstation 7 has released

Streams on Twitch again

Bitcoin reaches $200K at least one time

Talks to a sitting president while they are serving in office

Someone has reached 2900 FIDE chess rating

Israel-Palestine conflict is resolved

I lose my virginity 🤯 (literally never gonna happen)

I don’t die 💀

I save >1000 human lives 🚑

I get 1M followers / subscribers on any single online account 😎

I unironically reject and condemn all of my current philosophical / political beliefs 😈

I win a hyper-prestigious international prize 🏆

I become a billionaire 🤑

I become head of state / government of a UN-recognised nation 👑

I get struck by lightning 🌩️

I walk on the moon 🚀

Shark attack 🦈

YES