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Prediction markets for Justice

Will the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determine that Israel committed genocide in Gaza?

Jan 3, 7:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

13.76%chance

349101885

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2571

944

Will the next Supreme Court justice be appointed by a Democrat?

Jul 22, 12:56 PMDec 2, 5:59 AM

10.13%chance

9941770

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2901

249

If Trump wins, will he appoint another SCOTUS Justice before 2027?

Mar 10, 12:19 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

67.44%chance

11933296

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7134

6564

Will a Supreme Court justice retire during Trump’s second term?

Nov 9, 3:25 PMJan 16, 7:59 AM

91%chance

4621895

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3188

315

Will Donald Trump appoint at least 2 Supreme Court Justices during his second term?

Nov 7, 6:15 PMJan 20, 8:59 PM

32.31%chance

435053

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1447

691

Will the Justice Department win its antitrust suit against Google?

Jan 24, 6:00 PMJun 30, 10:59 PM

15.67%chance

262458

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1818

739

Will the next justice to leave the Supreme Court be a conservative?

Jul 31, 2:04 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

84.34%chance

232261

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2321

431

Will a liberal justice leave the Supreme Court during Trump's presidential term?

Jan 29, 8:51 PMJan 21, 5:59 AM

23.47%chance

151324

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1806

554

Will Clarence Thomas break the record for longest tenured US Supreme Court Justice?

Nov 12, 2:58 AMMay 20, 4:00 PM

59.79%chance

91241

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1219

820

Will the first openly LGBTQIA+ SCOTUS Justice be appointed before 2040?

Jul 3, 11:51 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

49.13%chance

181101

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1191

714

Will the next Chief Justice of the United States be a woman?

Mar 21, 1:27 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

38.39%chance

18600

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1159

881

Will the next Supreme Court justice have a Catholic background?

Jul 2, 2:14 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

39.07%chance

5265

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1249

801

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