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Prediction markets for Justice Office

Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?

Oct 26, 3:24 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

22%chance

783394355

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7386

3139

How will presidential historians rank Biden relative to other past presidents?

Jul 7, 5:15 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

273019

OptionProbability

21-25

26-30

16-20

11-15

31-35

Other

36-40

6-10

1-5

41-45

35

20

19

8

7

5

3

2

1

1

Who else will be indicted by the federal government before Trump leaves office? [ADD ANSWERS]

Sep 26, 6:49 PMJan 22, 5:59 AM

102502

OptionProbability

John Bolton

Letitia James

Fani Willis

Any sitting Democratic elected official

Lisa Cook

Adam Schiff

Jack Smith

Anyone additional for their role in the Jeffrey Epstein case

Tim Walz

Jerome Powell

George Soros / anyone in Open Societies Foundation leadership

Anyone pardoned by Joe Biden

Liz Cheney

Hunter Biden

Anyone in the Obama family

100

100

80

68

63

51

50

50

50

50

45

40

34

20

20

Trump sends uniformed military to polling stations during 2026 midterm elections?

Dec 12, 1:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.47%chance

181532

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1625

615

Will Clarence Thomas break the record for longest tenured US Supreme Court Justice?

Nov 12, 2:58 AMMay 20, 4:00 PM

63.51%chance

91341

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1319

758

If Talarico or Crockett wins the 2026 US Senate election in Texas, will governor Abbott refuse to certify that they won?

Jan 29, 6:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17%chance

11920

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1173

961

Will a supreme court justice die in office during trump's term?

Nov 6, 10:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.5%chance

11675

OptionVotes

YES

NO

129

77

Who will be the next Attorney General of the United States?

Apr 2, 9:36 PMDec 31, 10:35 PM

9526

OptionProbability

Lee Zeldin

Other

Todd Blanche

Ken Paxton

Jay Clayton

Jeanine Pirro

Mike Lee

Ron Desantis

Vladimir Putin

36

25

20

5

4

4

3

3

1

Will Netenyahu be Pardoned (by June 2026)

Dec 3, 12:26 AMJun 1, 11:59 PM

16.49%chance

9276

OptionVotes

YES

NO

225

44

Will an AI hold a high national office in the United States before January 1st, 2040?

Mar 19, 4:38 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

3.97%chance

6272

OptionVotes

YES

NO

440

121

Winner of Democratic Primary for Michigans 13th District?

Oct 7, 1:45 AMAug 4, 12:59 AM

6246

OptionProbability

Donavan McKinney (State Rep since 2023)

Shri Thanedar (Incumbent U.S. Representative)

Other

59

39

2

A sitting supreme court justice becomes a parent while in office by mid 2036

Nov 12, 4:21 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

14.67%chance

5180

OptionVotes

YES

NO

189

54

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