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Prediction markets for Justice Office

Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?

Oct 26, 3:24 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

32%chance

788397421

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5430

3850

Will LegalEagle become the U.S. Attorney General before 2030?

Aug 23, 10:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.96%chance

95133

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3400

294

How will presidential historians rank Biden relative to other past presidents?

Jul 7, 5:15 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

303298

OptionProbability

21-25

16-20

11-15

26-30

31-35

Other

36-40

6-10

1-5

41-45

32

18

12

12

10

8

4

2

1

1

If Democrats win the House or Senate in 2026, will officials try to block Democratic winners from being seated?

Sep 23, 6:08 AMJan 3, 11:59 PM

27.64%chance

162088

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7383

5277

Trump leaves office over Epstein files?

Nov 13, 11:48 PMJan 19, 11:59 PM

6.34%chance

311854

OptionVotes

YES

NO

385

26

Trump sends uniformed military to polling stations during 2026 midterm elections?

Dec 12, 1:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.27%chance

191582

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1675

597

Will Clarence Thomas break the record for longest tenured US Supreme Court Justice?

Nov 12, 2:58 AMMay 20, 4:00 PM

63.51%chance

91341

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1319

758

Will a sitting US Supreme Court justice resign or die in office before 2027?

Jul 21, 2:22 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9.52%chance

201191

OptionVotes

YES

NO

308

32

If Talarico or Crockett wins the 2026 US Senate election in Texas, will governor Abbott refuse to certify that they won?

Jan 29, 6:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.86%chance

13931

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1182

959

Will a supreme court justice die in office during trump's term?

Nov 6, 10:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.5%chance

11675

OptionVotes

YES

NO

129

77

A sitting supreme court justice becomes a parent while in office by mid 2036

Nov 12, 4:21 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

14.67%chance

5180

OptionVotes

YES

NO

189

54

Will anyone be prosecuted for the murder of Alex Pretti by the end of 2027?

Feb 23, 7:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.71%chance

370

OptionVotes

YES

NO

170

59

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