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Prediction markets for Justice Office

Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?

Oct 26, 3:24 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

8.77%chance

793414172

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14104

2043

If Dems win the House or Senate in 2026, will officials try to block a working Democratic majority from being seated?

Sep 23, 6:08 AMJan 3, 11:59 PM

15.73%chance

16740693

OptionVotes

YES

NO

24642

5236

Trump sends uniformed military to polling stations during 2026 midterm elections?

Dec 12, 1:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.39%chance

245556

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4666

214

Will LegalEagle become the U.S. Attorney General before 2030?

Aug 23, 10:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.98%chance

95383

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3650

274

If Talarico or Crockett wins the 2026 US Senate election in Texas, will governor Abbott refuse to certify that they won?

Jan 29, 6:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.54%chance

174278

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4638

681

How will presidential historians rank Biden relative to other past presidents?

Jul 7, 5:15 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

303298

OptionProbability

21-25

16-20

11-15

26-30

31-35

Other

36-40

6-10

1-5

41-45

32

18

12

12

10

8

4

2

1

1

Trump leaves office over Epstein files?

Nov 13, 11:48 PMJan 19, 11:59 PM

6.34%chance

311854

OptionVotes

YES

NO

385

26

Will Clarence Thomas break the record for longest tenured US Supreme Court Justice?

Nov 12, 2:58 AMMay 20, 4:00 PM

75.43%chance

111774

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1752

571

Will a sitting US Supreme Court justice resign or die in office before 2027?

Jul 21, 2:22 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20.34%chance

221257

OptionVotes

YES

NO

198

51

Will a supreme court justice die in office during trump's term?

Nov 6, 10:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

16.01%chance

13793

OptionVotes

YES

NO

229

44

A sitting supreme court justice becomes a parent while in office by mid 2036

Nov 12, 4:21 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

14.67%chance

5180

OptionVotes

YES

NO

189

54

Will anyone be prosecuted for the murder of Alex Pretti by the end of 2027?

Feb 23, 7:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.58%chance

581

OptionVotes

YES

NO

180

56

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