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Prediction markets for Kem

Will Brian Kemp run for the Georgia U.S. Senate Seat in 2026?

Nov 26, 9:26 PMNov 4, 4:59 AM

2.95%chance

1511166

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5737

174

Will Kemi Badenoch become Prime Minister of the UK?

Feb 21, 4:14 AMMar 6, 3:59 PM

10.78%chance

379576

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2451

665

Who will become the next permanent leader of the UK Conservative Party after Kemi Badenoch?

Nov 4, 12:41 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

328078

OptionProbability

Other

James Cleverly

Tom Tugendhat

Boris Johnson

Rishi Sunak

Robert Jenrick

Suella Braverman

48

23

14

6

4

3

1

Will Kemi Badenoch lead the Conservative party into the next General Election?

Jan 6, 4:29 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

50.71%chance

284615

OptionVotes

YES

NO

782

727

Will ML-KEM-768 break before X25519?

Apr 11, 12:22 AMJan 1, 1:21 AM

16.39%chance

103066

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8919

5057

Will Kemi Badenoch face a Vote of No Confidence before 1st January 2027?

Feb 18, 11:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50.64%chance

201757

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1055

908

When will the Kemmerer Power Station Unit 1 begin operation?

Mar 5, 5:02 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1810

OptionProbability

Before 2038

Before 2037

Before 2036

Before 2035

Before 2034

Before 2033

Before 2032

Before 2031

Before 2030

Before 2029

88

86

83

74

67

58

50

39

26

14

Will Kemi Badenoch be Leader of the Conservative Party On May 1st 2027?

May 3, 6:34 AMApr 30, 11:59 PM

47.86%chance

12740

OptionVotes

YES

NO

104

96

Will Chris Kempczinski (CEO of McDonald's) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Apr 23, 5:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.71%chance

6403

OptionVotes

YES

NO

403

75

Significant attack on post-quantum KEM Kyber published before Nov 2026

Nov 19, 9:38 PMNov 1, 10:59 PM

9.11%chance

6255

OptionVotes

YES

NO

283

29

Will a quantum/classical algorithm breaking ML-KEM-768 be found before 2050?

May 9, 9:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.88%chance

483

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1023

913

When will TerraPower’s Natrium Reactor in Kemmerer, WY go “online”

Mar 10, 8:27 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

130

OptionProbability

2033 - 2034

2035 - 2037

2031 - 2032

2038 - 2041

2042 - 2050

2051=<

32

27

10

10

10

10

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