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Prediction markets for Kem

Will Brian Kemp run for the Georgia U.S. Senate Seat in 2026?

Nov 26, 9:26 PMNov 4, 4:59 AM

3.52%chance

1410666

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5237

191

Will Kemi Badenoch become Prime Minister of the UK?

Feb 21, 4:14 AMMar 6, 3:59 PM

8.15%chance

379386

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3035

605

Who will become the next permanent leader of the UK Conservative Party after Kemi Badenoch?

Nov 4, 12:41 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

328078

OptionProbability

Other

James Cleverly

Tom Tugendhat

Boris Johnson

Rishi Sunak

Robert Jenrick

Suella Braverman

48

23

14

6

4

3

1

Will Kemi Badenoch lead the Conservative party into the next General Election?

Jan 6, 4:29 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

35.98%chance

223880

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1336

751

Will Kemi Badenoch be Leader of the Conservative Party on May 1st 2026?

May 3, 6:29 AMApr 30, 11:59 PM

81.7%chance

243070

OptionVotes

NO

YES

211

47

Will Kemi Badenoch face a Vote of No Confidence before 1st January 2027?

Feb 18, 11:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

58.25%chance

161507

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1592

1403

Will Kemi Badenoch be Leader of the Conservative Party On May 1st 2027?

May 3, 6:34 AMApr 30, 11:59 PM

40.07%chance

10555

OptionVotes

YES

NO

122

82

Will Chris Kempczinski (CEO of McDonald's) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Apr 23, 5:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.71%chance

6403

OptionVotes

YES

NO

403

75

Significant attack on post-quantum KEM Kyber published before Nov 2026

Nov 19, 9:38 PMNov 1, 10:59 PM

19.12%chance

5155

OptionVotes

YES

NO

183

45

Will the US NRC approve a TerraPower construction permit application for Kemmerer Power Station Unit 1 by Sept 10 2026?

Apr 24, 6:17 PMSep 11, 3:59 AM

53.02%chance

251

OptionVotes

NO

YES

144

136

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